AIEarly, Jackson's length and distance management meet Barcelos's push to close the gap and work volume behind…

68.3%

Model

59.9%

Market

1.61

Odds

+8.5

Edge (pp)

68.3%31.7%

DEC

Power

established · 12 UFC fightsestablished · 12 fights

Style Matchup

DEFENSIVE STRIKER

Striking Defense

established · 14 UFC fightsestablished · 14 fights

STRIKING

P59

Striking Initiative

P60

P26

Volume

P50

P64

Striking Efficiency

P80

P35

Range Sniper

P65

P36

Kickboxing

P59

P90

Clinch Striking

P28

P68

Defensive Striking

P75

GRAPPLING / WRESTLING

P90

Wrestling

P71

P75

Pressure Wrestling

P72

P78

Top Control

P76

P29

Submission

P43

P44

Anti-Wrestling

P46

P50

Grappling Defense

P98

P82

Scrambler

P22

DAMAGE / FINISHING

P94

Power

P55

P32

Finisher

P13

P83

Damage Resistance

P80

FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill

P89

Fast Starter

P65

P82

Pace

P77

P51

Late Fighter

P89

GLOBAL

P93

Versatility

P99

Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.

Striking

JacksonBarcelos

2.96Landed / min4.92

1.37Absorbed / min4.40

54%Accuracy52%

61%Defense61%

1.29KD / 150.41

0.00KD abs / 150.16

Grappling / Wrestling

JacksonBarcelos

2.94TD / 152.22

4.82TD att / 157.08

61%TD accuracy31%

67%TD defense88%

5:05Control / 153:22

0.35Sub att / 150.58

Targets

Position

Ranking evolution Jackson Barcelos

AI Matchup Analysis

Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.

Montel Jackson

Montel Jackson pairs sharp distance control with a sturdy chin, backed by a 20cm reach advantage and 8cm of height that let him fight long from southpaw. He carries real control once the fight hits the mat, and sits at 9-3 in the UFC with four wins in his last five.

Raoni Barcelos

Raoni Barcelos comes in on a four-fight win streak and 21-5 overall, with a slightly higher output and forward pressure in the striking exchanges. His takedown defense gives him a path to keep this standing, and his striking has been trending upward lately.

Matchup Read

Early, Jackson's length and distance management meet Barcelos's push to close the gap and work volume behind pressure. If Barcelos stays standing, his takedown defense keeps the fight in a phase where his output can score, though he's giving up 20cm of reach to get there. Jackson's top control matters only if he lands the entry against that defense; his durability lets him weather pressure while fighting long.

What to Watch

Early striking: whether Barcelos can get inside the reach to land volume, or Jackson keeps him pinned at the end of the jab.
Grappling: whether Jackson changes levels successfully against Barcelos's takedown defense and converts to top control.
Late rounds: whether Barcelos's forward pressure keeps piling up as the distance battle wears on.

Montel Jackson vs Raoni Barcelos