← UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Yaroslav Amosov vs Neil Magny
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12-13
Yaroslav AmosovLow Data
vs Neil Magny
70.3%
Model
76.5%
Market
1.26
Odds
-6.2
Edge (pp)
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
Style Matchup
established · 36 UFC fightsestablished · 36 fights
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P67
Volume
P54
Striking Efficiency
P39
Range Sniper
P18
Kickboxing
P16
Clinch Striking
P83
Defensive Striking
P37
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P77
Pressure Wrestling
P66
Top Control
P45
Submission
P44
Anti-Wrestling
P9
Grappling Defense
P8
Scrambler
P69
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P17
Finisher
P9
Damage Resistance
P20
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P33
Pace
P81
Late Fighter
P99
GLOBAL
Versatility
P26
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
AmosovMagny
—Landed / min3.41
—Absorbed / min2.44
—Accuracy47%
—Defense52%
—KD / 150.07
—KD abs / 150.38
Grappling / Wrestling
AmosovMagny
—TD / 152.18
—TD att / 155.49
—TD accuracy40%
—TD defense55%
—Control / 153:14
—Sub att / 150.27
Targets
AmosovMagny
Head—|71%
Body—|19%
Leg—|10%
Position
AmosovMagny
Distance—|58%
Clinch—|18%
Ground—|24%
Ranking evolution Amosov Magny
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Yaroslav Amosov
Amosov comes in at 28-1 with the kind of finishing threat that shows up on the ground, where his submission game and top control turn scrambles into finishes. His body of work against quality opposition backs up the résumé, and he carries genuine danger closing out fights before the judges get involved.
Neil Magny
Magny brings a 13cm reach and 8cm height advantage that lets him fight long and dictate range. A veteran at 24-12 in the UFC with 31 total wins, he's riding a two-fight run and turned around quickly, back after 2.5 months out.
Matchup Read
Magny's length and range control meet Amosov's push to get the fight to the mat, where his submission threat becomes the central danger. If Magny keeps it long and uses his frame to deny the level changes, he can turn it into a distance fight. Once Amosov closes and gets top position, the finishing risk climbs sharply. The battle over where this happens, at range or on the ground, decides it.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Amosov can close the reach gap, change levels and drag Magny into his submission game.
- Distance: whether Magny's 13cm reach lets him keep the fight long and stall the takedown entries.
- Finishing: how much danger Amosov generates once he establishes top position.
Key Uncertainty
Amosov steps into the UFC for the first time with no promotional history to read, so how his game holds up against this level of opposition is untested here.