AIStanding at range favors Njokuani, whose length and defense suit keeping Leal on the end of his strikes. The…

57.4%

Model

37.6%

Market

2.56

Odds

+19.9

Edge (pp)

57.4%42.6%

DEC

Clinch Striking

established · 9 UFC fightsestablished · 9 fights

Style Matchup

VOLUME PRESSURE STRIKER

DISTANCE KICKBOXER · CLINCH STRIKER · PRECISION STRIKER

Volume · Initiative

provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights

STRIKING

P86

Striking Initiative

P100

P68

Volume

P100

P93

Striking Efficiency

P99

P83

Range Sniper

P78

P80

Kickboxing

P98

P99

Clinch Striking

P91

P60

Defensive Striking

P48

GRAPPLING / WRESTLING

Wrestling

P29

P24

Pressure Wrestling

P18

P39

Top Control

P13

Submission

Anti-Wrestling

P20

P26

Grappling Defense

P72

P23

Scrambler

P31

DAMAGE / FINISHING

P82

Power

P20

P48

Finisher

P39

P42

Damage Resistance

P34

FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill

P74

Fast Starter

P30

P47

Pace

P51

P49

Late Fighter

P35

GLOBAL

P28

Versatility

P43

Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.

Striking

NjokuaniLeal

5.17Landed / min9.57

3.09Absorbed / min7.61

60%Accuracy51%

57%Defense53%

0.65KD / 150.00

0.22KD abs / 150.75

Grappling / Wrestling

NjokuaniLeal

0.00TD / 150.75

0.87TD att / 153.00

0%TD accuracy25%

71%TD defense90%

2:49Control / 150:12

0.22Sub att / 150.00

Targets

Position

Ranking evolution Njokuani Leal

AI Matchup Analysis

Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.

Chidi Njokuani

Chidi Njokuani fights behind sharp distance management and a reliable stand-up defense, using a 15 cm reach advantage to work at range and keep exchanges on his terms. He's durable, with a chin that holds up under fire. His all-organizations mark sits at 25-11, with three wins in his last 5 UFC appearances.

Carlos Leal

Carlos Leal brings pressure and volume in the striking game, pushing a busy pace and looking to close distance. He also carries a real threat of dragging the fight to the mat. He's tested himself against stiffer competition recently, holding a 22-7 record across all organizations.

Matchup Read

Standing at range favors Njokuani, whose length and defense suit keeping Leal on the end of his strikes. The problem for Leal is solved by closing that gap, where his volume and his push to get the fight down both become relevant. If Leal gets inside and changes levels, he shifts the fight to his terms; if Njokuani keeps it long and stuffs entries, his chin and reach keep him in control.

What to Watch

Early striking: whether Njokuani can keep Leal pinned at the end of his range or Leal walks him down and closes the gap.
Grappling: how often Leal shoots and whether those level changes put Njokuani on his back.
Durability: whether Leal's volume up close visibly troubles a chin that has held up before.

Chidi Njokuani vs Carlos Leal