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Carlos Leal

Carlos Leal#21 WW

provisional · 4 UFC fights
23-7
Record
11 KO · 2 SUB · 8 DEC
Wins by method
WinLossWinLossWin
Recent form
31
Age
180 cm
Height
188 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-02-21
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P99
Volume
P99
Striking Efficiency
P95
Range Sniper
P75
Kickboxing
P98
Clinch Striking
P73
Defensive Striking
P24
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P20
Pressure Wrestling
P51
Top Control
P31
Submission
P9
Anti-Wrestling
P37
Grappling Defense
P86
Scrambler
P24
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P21
Finisher
P30
Damage Resistance
P52
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P29
Pace
P74
Late Fighter
P59
GLOBAL
Versatility
P57
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-02-21
Striking
8.75
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
7.78
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
47%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
49%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.00
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.43
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
0.43
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
3.86
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
11%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
91%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
1:07
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.00
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head64%
Body24%
Leg12%
Position
Distance87%
Clinch13%
Ground0%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R266R3137increasing
TakedownsR1100R2—R3—no R3 data
ControlR1100R29133R31067increasing

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
50%
Model correct (2/4)
1/2
Fighter wins when model favored
1/2
Fighter wins when model underdog
—
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-02-21
42.6%
Model · pick ✗
→
2025-07-26
54.4%
Model · pick ✗
→
2025-03-08
57.0%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-10-26
36.7%
Model · pick ✓
→