AILeavitt carries the deeper UFC résumé, but the sharper matchup-specific tools sit with del Valle. If Leavitt…

65.3%

Model

73.9%

Market

1.30

Odds

-8.6

Edge (pp)

Yadier del Valle

65.3%34.7%

Jordan Leavitt

DEC

SUBMISSION HUNTER

Submission

provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights

Style Matchup

DISTANCE KICKBOXER

SUBMISSION HUNTER

Kickboxing

established · 8 UFC fightsestablished · 8 fights

STRIKING

P51

Striking Initiative

P69

Volume

P21

P56

Striking Efficiency

P80

Range Sniper

P54

P51

Kickboxing

P93

P53

Clinch Striking

P58

P49

Defensive Striking

P65

GRAPPLING / WRESTLING

P57

Wrestling

P80

P71

Pressure Wrestling

P70

P100

Top Control

P65

P88

Submission

P87

P49

Anti-Wrestling

P35

P65

Grappling Defense

P36

Scrambler

P91

DAMAGE / FINISHING

Power

P27

P41

Finisher

P72

P41

Damage Resistance

P70

FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill

P68

Fast Starter

P96

P58

Pace

P70

—

Late Fighter

P35

GLOBAL

P61

Versatility

P70

Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.

Striking

ValleLeavitt

1.52Landed / min2.62

0.46Absorbed / min1.89

77%Accuracy62%

73%Defense57%

0.00KD / 150.29

0.00KD abs / 150.00

Grappling / Wrestling

ValleLeavitt

2.28TD / 152.87

2.28TD att / 1510.04

100%TD accuracy29%

100%TD defense30%

9:46Control / 155:14

9.11Sub att / 151.15

Targets

Position

Ranking evolution Valle Leavitt

AI Matchup Analysis

Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.

Yadier del Valle

Yadier del Valle arrives unbeaten at 10-0, 2-0 in the UFC, riding a 10-fight win streak. He manages range well and defends the stand-up, stuffs takedowns to keep things where he wants, and grinds effectively from top position when it does hit the mat. His chin has held up under fire.

Jordan Leavitt

Jordan Leavitt sits at 12-3 overall and 5-3 in the UFC, with three wins in his last 5 there. He brings a bit more volume and forward pressure in the striking exchanges and owns a 5 cm reach advantage that gives him length to work behind.

Matchup Read

Leavitt carries the deeper UFC résumé, but the sharper matchup-specific tools sit with del Valle. If Leavitt presses behind his reach and output, he runs into del Valle's range management and stand-up defense. The grappling is the bigger question: del Valle's takedown defense can keep this upright, and should it reach the mat, his top control works against Leavitt. Leavitt's path leans on volume and length to disrupt that rhythm early.

What to Watch

Early striking: whether Leavitt's pressure and 5 cm of reach let him crowd del Valle, or del Valle governs the range.
Grappling: if the fight hits the mat, who ends up on top, and whether del Valle's control holds.
Late rounds: whether del Valle's defense keeps absorbing Leavitt's accumulating output as the fight stretches on.

Key Uncertainty

Del Valle has only two UFC fights on record, so how his skills translate against this level of opposition over a full fight remains partly untested.

Yadier del Valle vs Jordan Leavitt