← UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Rafael Cerqueira
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11-22
Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevLow Data
69.1%
Model
85.8%
Market
1.12
Odds
-16.7
Edge (pp)
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
Style Matchup
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P0
Volume
P2
Striking Efficiency
P53
Range Sniper
P46
Kickboxing
P94
Clinch Striking
P34
Defensive Striking
P6
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P15
Pressure Wrestling
P1
Top Control
P1
Submission
P15
Anti-Wrestling
P0
Grappling Defense
P0
Scrambler
P32
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P32
Finisher
P73
Damage Resistance
P17
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P2
Pace
P0
Late Fighter
P35
GLOBAL
Versatility
P3
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
YakhyaevCerqueira
—Landed / min1.61
—Absorbed / min4.88
—Accuracy45%
—Defense37%
—KD / 150.00
—KD abs / 151.66
Grappling / Wrestling
YakhyaevCerqueira
—TD / 150.00
—TD att / 150.00
—TD accuracy—
—TD defense40%
—Control / 150:22
—Sub att / 150.00
Targets
YakhyaevCerqueira
Head—|66%
Body—|0%
Leg—|34%
Position
YakhyaevCerqueira
Distance—|100%
Clinch—|0%
Ground—|0%
Ranking evolution Yakhyaev Cerqueira
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
Yakhyaev arrives unbeaten at 7-0 across all organizations, riding a seven-fight win streak. His most consistent asset is his submission threat on the mat, where he can finish exchanges outright, and he carries the length advantage in this matchup with a five-centimeter reach edge.
Rafael Cerqueira
Cerqueira owns an 11-3 overall record but sits at 0-3 in the UFC, still searching for his first win in the promotion after three straight losses. He last fought 3.4 months ago, and his most recent defeat came against lower-ranked opposition.
Matchup Read
Yakhyaev carries the early finishing danger, while the fight's later stretches raise the question of whether Cerqueira can drag it into deeper water. The central threat lives on the ground, where Yakhyaev's ability to end sequences puts Cerqueira at risk any time the fight hits the mat. Cerqueira, coming off a recent stoppage loss, needs to avoid those grappling exchanges. The crossed stances and Yakhyaev's reach shape the angles standing.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Yakhyaev can turn top position into a finishing sequence, or Cerqueira works back to his feet.
- Early striking: how the orthodox-southpaw angles and Yakhyaev's reach play out in the opening exchanges at range.
- Late rounds: whether Cerqueira can extend the fight past Yakhyaev's finishing windows and into the scorecards.
Key Uncertainty
Yakhyaev enters on a UFC debut with no promotional history, so how his unbeaten regional record translates against this level of opposition remains the main limit on reading the matchup.