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Rafael Cerqueira

Rafael Cerqueira#49 LHW

provisional · 4 UFC fights
11-4
Record
8 KO · 2 SUB · 1 DEC
Wins by method
WinLossLossLossLoss
Recent form
35
Age
191 cm
Height
193 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2025-11-22
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P0
Volume
P2
Striking Efficiency
P57
Range Sniper
P53
Kickboxing
P95
Clinch Striking
P31
Defensive Striking
P7
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P12
Pressure Wrestling
P0
Top Control
P2
Submission
P12
Anti-Wrestling
P0
Grappling Defense
P1
Scrambler
P26
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P30
Finisher
P72
Damage Resistance
P15
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P2
Pace
P0
Late Fighter
P42
GLOBAL
Versatility
P3
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2025-11-22
Striking
1.56
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
5.05
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
44%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
37%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.00
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
2.42
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
0.00
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.00
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
—
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
36%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
0:22
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.00
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head66%
Body0%
Leg34%
Position
Distance100%
Clinch0%
Ground0%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R233R3106stable
TakedownsR1100R2—R3—no R3 data
ControlR1100R20R3200increasing

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
100%
Model correct (4/4)
—
Fighter wins when model favored
0/4
Fighter wins when model underdog
—
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2025-11-22
30.9%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-08-09
29.5%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-02-22
22.9%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-10-26
20.2%
Model · pick ✓
→