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Modestas Bukauskas

Modestas Bukauskas#17 LHW

DISTANCE KICKBOXER
established · 14 UFC fights
21-7
Record
12 KO · 3 SUB · 6 DEC
Wins by method
WinWinLossWinWin
Recent form
32
Age
191 cm
Height
193 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-09-05
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P19
Volume
P48
Striking Efficiency
P64
Range Sniper
P65
Kickboxing
P74
Clinch Striking
P47
Defensive Striking
P21
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P28
Pressure Wrestling
P29
Top Control
P35
Submission
P41
Anti-Wrestling
P19
Grappling Defense
P60
Scrambler
P7
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P62
Finisher
P64
Damage Resistance
P18
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P5
Pace
P7
Late Fighter
P70
GLOBAL
Versatility
P34
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-09-05
Striking
3.10
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
3.89
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
43%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
50%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.21
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.54
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
0.21
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.32
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
67%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
78%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
1:43
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.11
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head74%
Body16%
Leg10%
Position
Distance82%
Clinch10%
Ground8%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R295R3112increasing
TakedownsR1100R2140R3200increasing
ControlR1100R2482R3518increasing

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
60%
Model correct (6/10)
5/6
Fighter wins when model favored
3/4
Fighter wins when model underdog
4/4
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-09-05
vs Oumar Sy Win · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
21.3%
Model · pick ✗
→
2026-05-16
vs Christian Edwards Win · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
71.7%
Model · pick ✓
→
2026-01-24
vs Nikita Krylov Loss · KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
57.1%
Model · pick ✗
→
2025-09-06
vs Paul Craig Win · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho
56.1%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-05-10
vs Ion Cutelaba Win · DEC
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
57.5%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-02-22
vs Rafael Cerqueira Win · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
77.1%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-07-27
vs Marcin Prachnio Win · SUB
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
49.3%
Model · pick ✗
→
2023-11-04
vs Vitor Petrino Loss · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
47.7%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-06-17
vs Zac Pauga Win · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
75.1%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-02-11
vs Tyson Pedro Win · DEC
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
39.4%
Model · pick ✗
→