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Paul Craig

Paul Craig

FINISHERSCRAMBLER
established · 19 UFC fights
17-10
Record
3 KO · 14 SUB · 0 DEC
Wins by method
WinLossLossLossLoss
Recent form
37
Age
191 cm
Height
193 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2025-09-06
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P16
Volume
P27
Striking Efficiency
P30
Range Sniper
P26
Kickboxing
P43
Clinch Striking
P46
Defensive Striking
P5
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P52
Pressure Wrestling
P68
Top Control
P21
Submission
P97
Anti-Wrestling
P30
Grappling Defense
P2
Scrambler
P89
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P12
Finisher
P100
Damage Resistance
P18
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P15
Pace
P37
Late Fighter
P52
GLOBAL
Versatility
P6
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2025-09-06
Striking
2.38
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
3.21
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
44%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
42%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.10
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.40
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
1.52
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
7.59
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
20%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
31%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
2:07
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
1.42
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head49%
Body31%
Leg20%
Position
Distance65%
Clinch13%
Ground22%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R2156R3140increasing
TakedownsR1100R2137R3114increasing
ControlR1100R2151R37declining

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
75%
Model correct (6/8)
1/2
Fighter wins when model favored
1/6
Fighter wins when model underdog
1/2
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2025-09-06
43.9%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-11-16
44.9%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-05-04
44.0%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-11-18
39.8%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-07-22
40.4%
Model · pick ✗
→
2023-01-21
44.3%
Model · pick ✓
→
2022-07-23
54.9%
Model · pick ✗
→
2022-03-19
52.4%
Model · pick ✓
→