← UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09-05
78.7%
Model
62.5%
Market
1.54
Odds
+16.1
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
established · 13 UFC fightsestablished · 13 fights
STRIKING
P30
Striking Initiative
P14
P38
Volume
P41
P50
Striking Efficiency
P56
P15
Range Sniper
P56
P73
Kickboxing
P76
P51
Clinch Striking
P41
P84
Defensive Striking
P30
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P73
Wrestling
P27
P76
Pressure Wrestling
P27
P90
Top Control
P37
P59
Submission
P47
P42
Anti-Wrestling
P22
P46
Grappling Defense
P91
P31
Scrambler
P7
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P12
Power
P44
P60
Finisher
P61
P63
Damage Resistance
P12
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P39
Fast Starter
P9
P87
Pace
P4
P53
Late Fighter
P59
GLOBAL
P79
Versatility
P40
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
SyBukauskas
3.41Landed / min3.14
1.87Absorbed / min3.86
48%Accuracy43%
67%Defense51%
0.00KD / 150.11
0.00KD abs / 150.57
Grappling / Wrestling
SyBukauskas
2.45TD / 150.23
7.01TD att / 150.34
35%TD accuracy67%
67%TD defense82%
5:05Control / 151:39
0.35Sub att / 150.11
Targets
SyBukauskas
Head51%|72%
Body19%|17%
Leg29%|11%
Position
SyBukauskas
Distance83%|86%
Clinch8%|9%
Ground9%|5%
Ranking evolution Sy Bukauskas
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Oumar Sy
Oumar Sy carries a strong top game, controlling and grinding once the fight hits the mat. He's also the longer man by 18cm, which helps him work at range, and his recent durability and gas tank across the distance round out a well-supported package. UFC record sits at 3-2, 12-2 overall.
Modestas Bukauskas
Modestas Bukauskas owns a slight edge in takedown defense, giving him a route to keep this upright. Deeply experienced at 20-7 overall and 8-5 in the UFC with wins in 4 of his last 5, though he carries recent exposure to a finish loss.
Matchup Read
Standing, Sy's 18cm reach and marginally sharper distance work let him operate from range; on the mat, his top control is the central threat. The pivot is Bukauskas's takedown defense, his main tool to keep this a striking match. If he stays vertical, his experience and switch stance keep him competitive. If Sy gets him down, the control, durability and cardio compound over three rounds.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Bukauskas stuffs the entries or Sy plants him and holds top position.
- Early striking: how Bukauskas handles the 18cm reach gap and whether he closes distance behind his switch stance.
- Late rounds: whether the pace holds up for Bukauskas as Sy's cardio stays steady across three rounds.