Hooker's reach and framing meet Parnasse's push to close and threaten a finish, especially on the mat. If Hooker keeps this at range and uses his length in the switch-stance looks, he dictates where the exchanges happen. If Parnasse gets inside and drags it to the floor, his submission threat becomes the central danger. Over five rounds, whoever imposes the preferred range repeatedly will steer it.

Ziam brings the more proven résumé against quality opposition, but Sola owns the sharper matchup-specific tools if this hits the mat. Sola's submission threat meets Ziam's knack for scrambling back to his feet, so the ground battle turns on whether Sola can hold him there long enough to hunt a finish. Standing, the southpaw-orthodox mismatch reshuffles the angles as Ziam looks to manage range against Sola's forward volume and deeper cardio late.

The early rounds favor Page's striking at range, where his reach and standup keep the exchanges on the feet; the longer the fight stays grounded, the more Ruziboev's recent finishing and submission threat come into play. The central question is Ruziboev's push to get it down against Page's takedown defense. If Page stuffs entries and resets at distance, he controls the terms; if Ruziboev drags it to the mat, his rising top control becomes the deciding factor over three rounds.

Soriano brings the longer Octagon résumé and sharper matchup tool in his level changes, but Donchenko owns the more dangerous standing game. The fight likely hinges on whether Soriano can close the southpaw-orthodox distance and get it to the mat, since Donchenko's takedown defense and finishing power reward every exchange that stays upright. Soriano's recent defensive tightening matters most if he's forced to trade at range.

Campbell brings the longer frame and sharper stand-up defense, but Peek owns the sturdier matchup-specific grappling foundation: he's hard to take down and willing to change levels himself. If Peek keeps the exchanges upright and closes the reach gap, his durability lets him trade through Campbell's range. Campbell's path is managing distance behind his length and avoiding getting pulled into the phases Peek defends well.

Keita's forward pressure and takedown threat meet a Naimov who will have to disrupt that rhythm early. With the reach to work from the outside and a gas tank that holds late, Keita can lean on volume across three rounds while threatening level changes to keep Naimov guessing. If Naimov can't blunt the pace in the first round, the fight drifts into the later stretch where Keita's conditioning and durability become most relevant.

Early, Lima's durability and tighter range work give him a foothold on the feet against Charriere's volume and pressure. As the fight wears on, Charriere's cardio grows in value, letting him lean on output across three rounds. If Lima looks to control from top, Charriere's ability to work back up blunts that path and resets exchanges where his pace can tell late.

Spann brings the deeper résumé, but Pinto owns the sharper matchup-specific tools. The central tension is on the mat: Pinto's top control is exactly where Spann's submission threat lives, so every minute Pinto spends grinding from top carries risk. If Pinto's takedown defense keeps it standing, his slight range edge matters. Over three rounds, Spann's superior gas tank grows in value the longer Pinto's unbeaten record is tested.

Standing, Sy's 18cm reach and marginally sharper distance work let him operate from range; on the mat, his top control is the central threat. The pivot is Bukauskas's takedown defense, his main tool to keep this a striking match. If he stays vertical, his experience and switch stance keep him competitive. If Sy gets him down, the control, durability and cardio compound over three rounds.

Wood brings the deeper, higher-level resume against the finishing threat Andrusca carries into his debut. The central question is whether Andrusca can impose his stoppage power before Wood's experience against better opposition starts to tell. Wood's 8 cm reach gives him room to work from the outside across three rounds; if he manages distance and avoids early exchanges, the fight shifts toward the kind of extended test Andrusca hasn't faced yet.

Early, Duclos's length is the asset: if he keeps the fight at range and uses his reach to manage distance, he can stay off the mat where Dias is most dangerous. The deeper the fight goes, the more Dias's ground finishing threat and recent habit of closing fights matter. The decisive question is whether Duclos can keep it standing or whether Dias drags it into grappling exchanges, where his submission danger lives.