AIWood brings the deeper, higher-level resume against the finishing threat Andrusca carries into his debut. Th…

66.9%

Model

72.2%

Market

1.34

Odds

-5.3

Edge (pp)

Nathaniel Wood

66.9%33.1%

Pavel Andrusca

DEC

VOLUME PRESSURE STRIKER

DISTANCE KICKBOXER · PRECISION STRIKER

Volume · Initiative

established · 14 UFC fightsestablished · 14 fights

Style Matchup

No UFC data yet

UFC debut · style profile after first fight

STRIKING

P93

Striking Initiative

P90

Volume

P86

Striking Efficiency

P84

Range Sniper

P87

Kickboxing

P15

Clinch Striking

P50

Defensive Striking

GRAPPLING / WRESTLING

P56

Wrestling

P46

Pressure Wrestling

P46

Top Control

P57

Submission

P76

Anti-Wrestling

P90

Grappling Defense

P52

Scrambler

DAMAGE / FINISHING

P47

Power

P14

Finisher

P74

Damage Resistance

FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill

P64

Fast Starter

P69

Pace

P22

Late Fighter

GLOBAL

P91

Versatility

Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.

Striking

WoodAndrusca

5.64Landed / min—

4.25Absorbed / min—

51%Accuracy—

54%Defense—

0.40KD / 15—

0.24KD abs / 15—

Grappling / Wrestling

WoodAndrusca

1.35TD / 15—

2.77TD att / 15—

49%TD accuracy—

73%TD defense—

2:14Control / 15—

0.47Sub att / 15—

Targets

Position

Ranking evolution Wood Andrusca

AI Matchup Analysis

Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.

Nathaniel Wood

Nathaniel Wood arrives on a four-fight win streak and an 11-3 UFC run, taking 4 of his last 5 inside the Octagon, including a win over the No. 38-ranked opponent. His tested resume against better competition stands out, and he carries a reach advantage at featherweight.

Pavel Andrusca

Pavel Andrusca comes in unbeaten at 8-0 across all organizations, riding an eight-fight win streak built on modest regional opposition. His most notable trait is a knack for ending fights early rather than leaning on the scorecards, though this is his UFC debut.

Matchup Read

Wood brings the deeper, higher-level resume against the finishing threat Andrusca carries into his debut. The central question is whether Andrusca can impose his stoppage power before Wood's experience against better opposition starts to tell. Wood's 8 cm reach gives him room to work from the outside across three rounds; if he manages distance and avoids early exchanges, the fight shifts toward the kind of extended test Andrusca hasn't faced yet.

What to Watch

Early rounds: whether Andrusca can close distance and land the kind of power that has ended his previous fights.
Distance: whether Wood uses his reach to keep exchanges at range rather than trading in the pocket.
Late rounds: how Andrusca handles the third round if the fight goes past his usual early finishes.

Key Uncertainty

Andrusca steps into the UFC for the first time with no prior experience at this level, so how his finishing power holds up against a tested opponent remains the hardest part of this matchup to read.

Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca