← UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Michael Page vs Nursulton Ruziboev
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09-05
74.5%
Model
63.8%
Market
1.51
Odds
+10.7
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
limited sample · 6 UFC fightslimited · 6 fights
STRIKING
P14
Striking Initiative
P14
P18
Volume
P15
P94
Striking Efficiency
P32
P57
Range Sniper
P59
P96
Kickboxing
P23
P31
Clinch Striking
P37
P93
Defensive Striking
P32
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P5
Wrestling
P57
P11
Pressure Wrestling
P14
P7
Top Control
P34
P17
Submission
P88
P2
Anti-Wrestling
P69
P22
Grappling Defense
P16
P20
Scrambler
P88
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P26
Power
P79
P28
Finisher
P94
P67
Damage Resistance
P46
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P3
Fast Starter
P86
P1
Pace
P10
P61
Late Fighter
P35
GLOBAL
P23
Versatility
P30
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
PageRuziboev
2.15Landed / min2.38
1.57Absorbed / min2.68
56%Accuracy46%
62%Defense49%
0.00KD / 151.02
0.00KD abs / 150.34
Grappling / Wrestling
PageRuziboev
0.00TD / 151.36
1.00TD att / 151.70
0%TD accuracy80%
68%TD defense33%
0:55Control / 152:24
0.00Sub att / 150.34
Targets
PageRuziboev
Head63%|69%
Body22%|26%
Leg15%|6%
Position
PageRuziboev
Distance93%|71%
Clinch6%|8%
Ground2%|21%
Ranking evolution Page Ruziboev
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Michael Page
Michael Page rides a three-fight win streak and sits 4-1 in the UFC, 25-3 overall. His strongest trait here is keeping the fight standing, where his takedown defense holds up well, and he carries an 8cm reach advantage to help manage range. His lone recent loss came against the No. 10-ranked opponent.
Nursulton Ruziboev
Nursulton Ruziboev brings a deep 37-9 record and a 5-1 UFC run, also on a three-fight streak. His path runs through the mat: he gets takedowns, his ground control has been trending upward, and he's been finishing fights and threatening submissions in recent outings. He last fought just 2.3 months ago.
Matchup Read
The early rounds favor Page's striking at range, where his reach and standup keep the exchanges on the feet; the longer the fight stays grounded, the more Ruziboev's recent finishing and submission threat come into play. The central question is Ruziboev's push to get it down against Page's takedown defense. If Page stuffs entries and resets at distance, he controls the terms; if Ruziboev drags it to the mat, his rising top control becomes the deciding factor over three rounds.
What to Watch
- Takedown battle: whether Ruziboev's level changes and entries get Page down, or whether Page sprawls and keeps resetting at range.
- Early striking: how well Page uses his reach to control distance and keep the fight standing in round one.
- Ground time: if Ruziboev secures top position, watch how long he holds it and whether a submission opens up.