← UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Fares Ziam vs Axel Sola
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09-05
53.0%
Model
58.4%
Market
1.65
Odds
-5.4
Edge (pp)
established · 11 UFC fightsestablished · 11 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P38
Striking Initiative
P60
P25
Volume
P43
P71
Striking Efficiency
P77
P26
Range Sniper
P72
P64
Kickboxing
P42
P72
Clinch Striking
P95
P86
Defensive Striking
P71
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P68
Wrestling
P60
P62
Pressure Wrestling
P41
P55
Top Control
P72
P47
Submission
P47
P41
Anti-Wrestling
P39
P60
Grappling Defense
P53
P98
Scrambler
P31
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P40
Power
P92
P30
Finisher
P53
P85
Damage Resistance
P64
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P84
Fast Starter
P80
P59
Pace
P64
P2
Late Fighter
P47
GLOBAL
P90
Versatility
P72
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
ZiamSola
2.68Landed / min4.50
1.58Absorbed / min4.53
52%Accuracy50%
64%Defense62%
0.21KD / 150.94
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
ZiamSola
1.86TD / 151.89
4.34TD att / 155.19
43%TD accuracy36%
71%TD defense67%
4:05Control / 153:31
0.52Sub att / 150.47
Targets
ZiamSola
Head66%|84%
Body19%|16%
Leg16%|0%
Position
ZiamSola
Distance70%|69%
Clinch13%|24%
Ground18%|7%
Ranking evolution Ziam Sola
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Fares Ziam
Fares Ziam brings a tested UFC run at 8-3, with 4 of his last 5 inside the Octagon and an 18-5 mark overall. His ground control has been trending upward, and he's shown he can escape bottom position and work back to his feet. Sharp at managing distance with solid stand-up defense.
Axel Sola
Axel Sola arrives on the back of a win and a 12-1 record across all organizations, 2-1 in the UFC. His most consistent threat is his submission game, backed by a strong gas tank that holds up as the fight stretches out. Fights southpaw and pushes a steady volume forward.
Matchup Read
Ziam brings the more proven résumé against quality opposition, but Sola owns the sharper matchup-specific tools if this hits the mat. Sola's submission threat meets Ziam's knack for scrambling back to his feet, so the ground battle turns on whether Sola can hold him there long enough to hunt a finish. Standing, the southpaw-orthodox mismatch reshuffles the angles as Ziam looks to manage range against Sola's forward volume and deeper cardio late.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Sola can pin Ziam long enough to work submissions before Ziam scrambles back upright.
- Striking: how Ziam handles the crossed-stance angles and keeps range against Sola's forward pressure.
- Late rounds: whether Sola's cardio starts dictating pace across the third.