← UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Losene Keita vs Muhammad Naimov
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09-05
Losene KeitaLow Data
72.0%
Model
73.5%
Market
1.31
Odds
-1.5
Edge (pp)
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
Style Matchup
limited sample · 7 UFC fightslimited · 7 fights
STRIKING
P16
Striking Initiative
P22
P58
Volume
P23
P87
Striking Efficiency
P6
P64
Range Sniper
P9
P98
Kickboxing
P17
P23
Clinch Striking
P70
P85
Defensive Striking
P12
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P29
Wrestling
P62
P0
Pressure Wrestling
P64
P0
Top Control
P65
P0
Submission
P25
P56
Anti-Wrestling
P42
P57
Grappling Defense
P70
P34
Scrambler
P75
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P35
Power
P55
P37
Finisher
P30
P46
Damage Resistance
P45
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P2
Fast Starter
P30
P1
Pace
P60
P69
Late Fighter
P5
GLOBAL
P26
Versatility
P11
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
KeitaNaimov
3.47Landed / min2.32
4.47Absorbed / min2.85
44%Accuracy41%
62%Defense45%
0.00KD / 150.20
0.00KD abs / 150.20
Grappling / Wrestling
KeitaNaimov
0.00TD / 151.79
0.00TD att / 155.18
—TD accuracy35%
100%TD defense74%
0:00Control / 154:00
0.00Sub att / 150.20
Targets
KeitaNaimov
Head69%|59%
Body25%|22%
Leg6%|19%
Position
KeitaNaimov
Distance100%|70%
Clinch0%|17%
Ground0%|14%
Ranking evolution Keita Naimov
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Losene Keita
Losene Keita comes in with a 16-2 record across all organizations and a durable recent run, having absorbed damage well and avoided any recent stoppage loss. His cardio holds up deep into fights, and he mixes forward-pressing volume on the feet with the option to change levels. A 5 cm reach advantage gives him room to work at range.
Muhammad Naimov
Muhammad Naimov is 5-2 in the UFC with three wins over his last five there, and 13-4 overall. He has been out for 9 months, his longest layoff recently, and his most recent results came against modest regional opposition.
Matchup Read
Keita's forward pressure and takedown threat meet a Naimov who will have to disrupt that rhythm early. With the reach to work from the outside and a gas tank that holds late, Keita can lean on volume across three rounds while threatening level changes to keep Naimov guessing. If Naimov can't blunt the pace in the first round, the fight drifts into the later stretch where Keita's conditioning and durability become most relevant.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Keita uses his reach to establish range or Naimov closes the gap and sets his own pace.
- Grappling: how often Keita changes levels, and whether Naimov can keep the fight standing.
- Late rounds: whether the third round sees Keita's conditioning hold while Naimov's output drops after the layoff.
Key Uncertainty
With only a single UFC fight on Keita's record, his level against this tier of competition is hard to pin down, leaving a real read on how his tools translate here incomplete.