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Matheus Nicolau

Matheus Nicolau

Secondary style
Precision Striker
VERSATILE
established · 11 UFC fights
19-8
Record
5 KO · 5 SUB · 9 DEC
Wins by method
WinWinLossLossLoss
Recent form
31
Age
168 cm
Height
168 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2024-10-19
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P56
Volume
P38
Striking Efficiency
P81
Range Sniper
P82
Kickboxing
P85
Clinch Striking
P3
Defensive Striking
P97
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P48
Pressure Wrestling
P45
Top Control
P54
Submission
P57
Anti-Wrestling
P44
Grappling Defense
P97
Scrambler
P14
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P73
Finisher
P14
Damage Resistance
P11
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P18
Pace
P19
Late Fighter
P68
GLOBAL
Versatility
P98
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2024-10-19
Striking
3.31
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
2.98
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
52%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
66%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.97
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.61
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
1.22
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
2.80
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
43%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
90%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
2:10
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.85
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head52%
Body34%
Leg14%
Position
Distance87%
Clinch1%
Ground12%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R2148R3114increasing
TakedownsR1100R2122R3288increasing
ControlR1100R269R3173increasing

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
60%
Model correct (3/5)
2/4
Fighter wins when model favored
0/1
Fighter wins when model underdog
2/4
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2024-10-19
35.6%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-04-27
73.1%
Model · pick ✗
→
2023-04-15
78.6%
Model · pick ✗
→
2022-12-03
83.0%
Model · pick ✓
→
2022-03-26
73.7%
Model · pick ✓
→