← UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
Ludovit Klein vs Mateusz Rebecki
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10-25
57.8%
Model
57.0%
Market
1.69
Odds
+0.8
Edge (pp)
established · 10 UFC fightsestablished · 10 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P48
Striking Initiative
P83
P30
Volume
P72
P83
Striking Efficiency
P70
P72
Range Sniper
P72
P84
Kickboxing
P73
P61
Clinch Striking
P21
P36
Defensive Striking
P48
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P59
Wrestling
P89
P73
Pressure Wrestling
P70
P81
Top Control
P79
P46
Submission
P64
P23
Anti-Wrestling
P41
P58
Grappling Defense
P32
P24
Scrambler
P27
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P76
Power
P87
P55
Finisher
P75
P92
Damage Resistance
P66
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P48
Fast Starter
P83
P46
Pace
P89
P20
Late Fighter
P10
GLOBAL
P84
Versatility
P81
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
KleinRebecki
3.63Landed / min5.53
3.40Absorbed / min4.69
53%Accuracy47%
53%Defense56%
0.61KD / 150.85
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
KleinRebecki
1.46TD / 153.19
2.92TD att / 154.68
50%TD accuracy68%
77%TD defense50%
4:25Control / 154:00
0.00Sub att / 150.42
Targets
KleinRebecki
Head54%|66%
Body34%|17%
Leg12%|17%
Position
KleinRebecki
Distance80%|83%
Clinch10%|5%
Ground10%|12%
Ranking evolution Klein Rebecki
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Ludovit Klein
Klein carries a substantial 15 cm reach advantage that lets him work from range and dictate distance. He does his best work keeping the fight standing, defending takedown attempts to stay out of grappling exchanges. At 23-5 overall with a 7-3 UFC mark, his lone recent setback came against the No. 8-ranked opponent.
Mateusz Rebecki
Rebecki brings the higher output and forward pressure on the feet, with his striking volume trending upward recently. His most meaningful threat is on the mat, where his submission game and improving top control make him dangerous, and he owns the sharper finishing tools. He sits at 21-3 across all organizations.
Matchup Read
Klein's takedown defense meets Rebecki's push to drag this to the mat, and that collision likely decides it. If Klein keeps it standing, his reach lets him fight long and turn Rebecki's forward pressure into range exchanges. If Rebecki closes distance and gets it down, his submission threat and top control become the central danger, where he's most likely to force a finish before the scorecards.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Rebecki can close the 15 cm gap and complete takedowns against Klein's defense.
- Early striking: whether Klein keeps Rebecki at the end of his range or gets walked into pressure.
- Ground exchanges: if it hits the mat, how quickly Rebecki hunts submissions versus Klein working back up.