FIGHTintelligence
UFC predictions & fighter analytics
PredictionsPerformance & Past EventsFightersDNA AnalyticsAbout
← Fighters
Mateusz Rebecki

Mateusz Rebecki#36 LW

HIGH-PACE GRINDER
established · 9 UFC fights
22-5
Record
11 KO · 7 SUB · 4 DEC
Wins by method
WinLossLossLossWin
Recent form
33
Age
170 cm
Height
168 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-08-01
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P85
Volume
P70
Striking Efficiency
P72
Range Sniper
P65
Kickboxing
P56
Clinch Striking
P18
Defensive Striking
P38
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P87
Pressure Wrestling
P72
Top Control
P76
Submission
P57
Anti-Wrestling
P73
Grappling Defense
P41
Scrambler
P62
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P85
Finisher
P79
Damage Resistance
P77
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P85
Pace
P94
Late Fighter
P5
GLOBAL
Versatility
P84
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).

Archetype history

  1. HIGH-PACE GRINDER2026-05-09 → CURRENT · 2 fights
  2. POWER STRIKER2023-11-11 → 2025-10-25 · 5 fights
  3. HIGH-PACE GRINDER2023-06-24 · 1 fight
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-08-01
Striking
5.43
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
4.29
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
49%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
55%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.71
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.00
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
2.86
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
5.72
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
50%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
53%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
4:20
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.29
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head72%
Body15%
Leg13%
Position
Distance71%
Clinch5%
Ground25%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R297R369declining
TakedownsR1100R2119R3139increasing
ControlR1100R258R3117increasing

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
75%
Model correct (6/8)
3/4
Fighter wins when model favored
1/4
Fighter wins when model underdog
2/2
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-08-01
vs Kyle Prepolec Win · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
89.7%
Model · pick ✓
→
2026-05-09
vs Grant Dawson Loss · SUB
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
31.1%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-10-25
vs Ludovit Klein Loss · DEC
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
42.2%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-08-02
vs Chris Duncan Loss · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
42.8%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-10-26
vs Myktybek Orolbai Win · DEC
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
29.1%
Model · pick ✗
→
2024-05-11
vs Diego Ferreira Loss · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
67.4%
Model · pick ✗
→
2023-11-11
vs Roosevelt Roberts Win · SUB
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
77.4%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-06-24
vs Loik Radzhabov Win · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
54.3%
Model · pick ✓
→