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Grant Dawson

Grant Dawson#15 LW

established · 14 UFC fights
23-3
Record
5 KO · 13 SUB · 5 DEC
Wins by method
WinWinWinLossWin
Recent form
32
Age
178 cm
Height
183 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-05-09
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P50
Volume
P19
Striking Efficiency
P29
Range Sniper
P9
Kickboxing
P13
Clinch Striking
P56
Defensive Striking
P5
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P91
Pressure Wrestling
P92
Top Control
P99
Submission
P92
Anti-Wrestling
P55
Grappling Defense
P64
Scrambler
P30
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P23
Finisher
P79
Damage Resistance
P31
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P88
Pace
P97
Late Fighter
P79
GLOBAL
Versatility
P46
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).

Archetype history

  1. HIGH-PACE GRINDER2026-05-09 → CURRENT
  2. GRAPPLING CONTROLLER2025-12-06 → 2026-05-09 · 2 fights
  3. HIGH-PACE GRINDER2025-01-18 · 1 fight
  4. GRAPPLING CONTROLLER2024-10-12 · 1 fight
  5. SUBMISSION HUNTER2023-07-01 → 2024-06-01 · 2 fights
  6. HIGH-PACE GRINDER2022-04-30 → 2022-11-05 · 2 fights
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-05-09
Striking
3.26
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
2.24
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
50%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
46%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.10
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.29
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
3.68
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
9.11
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
40%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
70%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
9:53
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
1.36
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head69%
Body18%
Leg13%
Position
Distance52%
Clinch10%
Ground38%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R2137R3139increasing
TakedownsR1100R283R381declining
ControlR1100R288R3101stable

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
88%
Model correct (7/8)
7/8
Fighter wins when model favored
—
Fighter wins when model underdog
5/6
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-10-24
54.2%
Model
→
2026-05-09
68.9%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-12-06
76.7%
Model · pick ✗
→
2025-01-18
66.4%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-10-12
57.4%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-06-01
72.2%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-07-01
74.2%
Model · pick ✓
→
2022-11-05
72.5%
Model · pick ✓
→
2022-04-30
70.2%
Model · pick ✓
→