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Julian Erosa

Julian Erosa#54 FW

VOLUME PRESSURE STRIKER
Secondary styles
Submission Hunter · Precision Striker
established · 18 UFC fights
30-16
Record
11 KO · 14 SUB · 5 DEC
Wins by method
WinWinWinLossLoss
Recent form
36
Age
185 cm
Height
188 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-03-28
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P85
Volume
P85
Striking Efficiency
P83
Range Sniper
P83
Kickboxing
P77
Clinch Striking
P76
Defensive Striking
P16
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P67
Pressure Wrestling
P70
Top Control
P51
Submission
P86
Anti-Wrestling
P28
Grappling Defense
P37
Scrambler
P7
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P29
Finisher
P82
Damage Resistance
P3
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P51
Pace
P73
Late Fighter
P58
GLOBAL
Versatility
P83
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).

Archetype history

  1. VOLUME PRESSURE STRIKER2026-03-28 → CURRENT
  2. SUBMISSION HUNTER2025-04-12 → 2026-03-28 · 3 fights
  3. PRECISION STRIKER2022-02-05 → 2024-07-13 · 6 fights
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-03-28
Striking
6.06
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
6.23
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
48%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
49%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.11
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
1.06
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
1.81
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
4.04
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
45%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
62%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
2:18
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.74
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head66%
Body24%
Leg9%
Position
Distance78%
Clinch16%
Ground6%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R2152R3116increasing
TakedownsR1100R2150R3319increasing
ControlR1100R2198R3276increasing

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
44%
Model correct (4/9)
1/2
Fighter wins when model favored
4/7
Fighter wins when model underdog
—
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-03-28
vs Lerryan Douglas Loss · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
46.4%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-05-17
vs Melquizael Costa Loss · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales
24.7%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-04-12
vs Darren Elkins Win · KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
33.9%
Model · pick ✗
→
2024-07-13
vs Christian Rodriguez Win · SUB
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez
27.3%
Model · pick ✗
→
2024-03-23
vs Ricardo Ramos Win · SUB
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas
30.5%
Model · pick ✗
→
2023-04-29
vs Fernando Padilla Loss · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
56.1%
Model · pick ✗
→
2022-12-17
vs Alex Caceres Loss · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
34.5%
Model · pick ✓
→
2022-09-10
vs Hakeem Dawodu Win · DEC
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
32.6%
Model · pick ✗
→
2022-02-05
vs Steven Peterson Win · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
52.5%
Model · pick ✓
→