← UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales
Melquizael Costa vs Julian Erosa
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05-17
75.3%
Model
62.0%
Market
1.56
Odds
+13.4
Edge (pp)
limited sample · 6 UFC fightslimited · 6 fights
Style Matchup
established · 16 UFC fightsestablished · 16 fights
STRIKING
P83
Striking Initiative
P86
P68
Volume
P85
P61
Striking Efficiency
P88
P20
Range Sniper
P84
P72
Kickboxing
P76
P71
Clinch Striking
P81
P42
Defensive Striking
P16
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P65
Wrestling
P67
P59
Pressure Wrestling
P59
P50
Top Control
P47
P81
Submission
P91
P37
Anti-Wrestling
P21
P23
Grappling Defense
P31
P91
Scrambler
P7
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P8
Power
P28
P43
Finisher
P90
P38
Damage Resistance
P4
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P54
Fast Starter
P57
P86
Pace
P67
P9
Late Fighter
P42
GLOBAL
P57
Versatility
P83
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
CostaErosa
3.86Landed / min6.28
2.72Absorbed / min6.10
50%Accuracy49%
52%Defense49%
0.00KD / 150.12
0.24KD abs / 150.98
Grappling / Wrestling
CostaErosa
1.95TD / 151.72
5.62TD att / 153.43
35%TD accuracy50%
55%TD defense64%
3:45Control / 152:13
1.22Sub att / 150.86
Targets
CostaErosa
Head39%|66%
Body40%|24%
Leg22%|9%
Position
CostaErosa
Distance71%|77%
Clinch15%|16%
Ground14%|7%
Ranking evolution Costa Erosa