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Melquizael Costa

Melquizael Costa#15 FW

established · 10 UFC fights
26-8
Record
9 KO · 8 SUB · 9 DEC
Wins by method
WinWinWinWinLoss
Recent form
29
Age
178 cm
Height
180 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-05-16
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P91
Volume
P89
Striking Efficiency
P71
Range Sniper
P64
Kickboxing
P84
Clinch Striking
P30
Defensive Striking
P33
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P53
Pressure Wrestling
P41
Top Control
P30
Submission
P68
Anti-Wrestling
P31
Grappling Defense
P25
Scrambler
P75
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P46
Finisher
P43
Damage Resistance
P51
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P76
Pace
P81
Late Fighter
P62
GLOBAL
Versatility
P58
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).

Archetype history

  1. VOLUME PRESSURE STRIKER2025-12-13 → CURRENT · 3 fights
  2. SUBMISSION HUNTER2025-05-17 · 1 fight
  3. DISTANCE KICKBOXER2024-06-15 → 2025-03-29 · 3 fights
  4. VOLUME PRESSURE STRIKER2023-12-09 · 1 fight
  5. DISTANCE KICKBOXER2023-07-15 · 1 fight
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-05-16
Striking
4.29
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
3.19
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
47%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
50%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.28
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.28
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
1.53
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
4.32
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
35%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
51%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
2:31
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.84
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head47%
Body30%
Leg23%
Position
Distance83%
Clinch9%
Ground8%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R2116R3128increasing
TakedownsR1100R257R3120increasing
ControlR1100R263R385declining

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
90%
Model correct (9/10)
7/8
Fighter wins when model favored
0/2
Fighter wins when model underdog
4/4
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-05-16
39.0%
Model · pick ✓
→
2026-02-21
69.2%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-12-13
65.4%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-05-17
75.3%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-03-29
55.8%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-02-22
62.9%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-06-15
69.0%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-12-09
55.7%
Model · pick ✗
→
2023-07-15
56.0%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-01-21
26.1%
Model · pick ✓
→