← UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Charles Johnson vs Alex Perez
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01-24
61.3%
Model
63.5%
Market
1.52
Odds
-2.2
Edge (pp)
established · 12 UFC fightsestablished · 12 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P90
Striking Initiative
P73
P89
Volume
P56
P88
Striking Efficiency
P34
P83
Range Sniper
P41
P91
Kickboxing
P35
P61
Clinch Striking
P59
P76
Defensive Striking
P72
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P12
Wrestling
P81
P19
Pressure Wrestling
P78
P8
Top Control
P84
P36
Submission
P66
P31
Anti-Wrestling
P36
P43
Grappling Defense
P57
P47
Scrambler
P23
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P59
Power
P51
P38
Finisher
P15
P93
Damage Resistance
P68
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P11
Fast Starter
P22
P41
Pace
P86
P77
Late Fighter
P35
GLOBAL
P47
Versatility
P81
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
JohnsonPerez
4.73Landed / min4.15
3.78Absorbed / min3.22
50%Accuracy46%
57%Defense59%
0.38KD / 150.63
0.09KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
JohnsonPerez
0.56TD / 152.35
2.73TD att / 154.86
21%TD accuracy48%
67%TD defense74%
1:06Control / 154:20
0.38Sub att / 150.63
Targets
JohnsonPerez
Head50%|58%
Body28%|17%
Leg21%|25%
Position
JohnsonPerez
Distance82%|71%
Clinch13%|14%
Ground5%|15%
Ranking evolution Johnson Perez
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Charles Johnson
Charles Johnson comes in on a win streak, with 4 wins in his last 5 UFC fights and recent finishing form backed by knockout power. He carries a 13cm reach advantage and works from a switch stance, and his conditioning holds up deep into fights. His control on the mat has been trending upward.
Alex Perez
Alex Perez owns a deep 25-10 all-organizations record and recently beat the No. 11-ranked opponent. His central strengths are getting the fight to the floor and controlling from top position once there, both meaningful weapons in this matchup.
Matchup Read
Standing, the fight favors Johnson: the longer frame, switch-stance looks and recent power give him the tools to win exchanges at range. On the mat the picture flips, since Perez's ability to change levels and grind from top position is where he can neutralize that striking. Whether Johnson keeps this vertical decides how much his reach and gas tank matter, and Perez's takedowns are the lever that takes it away.
What to Watch
- Takedown battle: whether Perez can close the 13cm reach gap and get Johnson to the floor, or gets kept at range.
- Striking at distance: how well Johnson uses his length and switch-stance angles to stack damage before any grappling exchange.
- Late rounds: if Johnson's conditioning keeps his output steady while Perez looks to control from top.