← UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Benoit Saint Denis vs Dan Hooker
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01-31
74.6%
Model
71.9%
Market
1.34
Odds
+2.6
Edge (pp)
established · 11 UFC fightsestablished · 11 fights
Style Matchup
established · 23 UFC fightsestablished · 23 fights
STRIKING
P69
Striking Initiative
P80
P41
Volume
P75
P70
Striking Efficiency
P74
P46
Range Sniper
P81
P49
Kickboxing
P74
P95
Clinch Striking
P27
P1
Defensive Striking
P21
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P93
Wrestling
P22
P95
Pressure Wrestling
P54
P89
Top Control
P59
P97
Submission
P64
P76
Anti-Wrestling
P72
P61
Grappling Defense
P77
P85
Scrambler
P46
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P74
Power
P67
P100
Finisher
P60
P64
Damage Resistance
P73
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P94
Fast Starter
P41
P99
Pace
P57
P35
Late Fighter
P86
GLOBAL
P76
Versatility
P61
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
DenisHooker
5.07Landed / min4.89
4.21Absorbed / min4.73
55%Accuracy48%
43%Defense51%
0.98KD / 150.58
0.20KD abs / 150.13
Grappling / Wrestling
DenisHooker
4.33TD / 150.71
11.42TD att / 152.06
38%TD accuracy34%
71%TD defense77%
6:50Control / 152:43
1.58Sub att / 150.45
Targets
DenisHooker
Head57%|62%
Body30%|18%
Leg13%|20%
Position
DenisHooker
Distance58%|84%
Clinch20%|9%
Ground22%|7%
Ranking evolution Denis Hooker
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Benoit Saint Denis
Benoit Saint Denis rides a three-fight win streak and profiles as the pressure grappler here, with heavy top control once he plants an opponent and a real finishing threat on the mat. His ground game and defense have both been trending upward, and he's shown the ability to close before the scorecards. His last win came over the No. 8-ranked opponent.
Dan Hooker
Dan Hooker owns the longer frame, carrying a 5 cm reach edge that lets him work at range. Deeply experienced at 24-13 across all organizations, he most recently beat the No. 7-ranked opponent. His switch stance gives him the option to attack from either side.
Matchup Read
Saint Denis's push to get the fight to the mat meets Hooker's need to keep it long and standing. If Saint Denis closes the 5 cm reach gap and changes levels, his top control and submission threat become the central danger, and he carries the sharper path to a finish. Hooker's job is to use his frame to manage distance and deny the entries; the longer this stays a striking match at range, the more it plays away from Saint Denis's best work.
What to Watch
- Distance: watch whether Hooker keeps Saint Denis on the end of his reach or gets walked toward the fence.
- Grappling: once it hits the mat, track whether Saint Denis holds top position and hunts the finish or Hooker works back up.
- Late rounds: see if Saint Denis's pace and finishing pressure carry as the fight wears on.