← UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Brunno Ferreira vs Gregory Rodrigues
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03-07
54.1%
Model
36.2%
Market
2.66
Odds
+17.9
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
established · 12 UFC fightsestablished · 12 fights
STRIKING
P41
Striking Initiative
P84
P59
Volume
P77
P93
Striking Efficiency
P92
P95
Range Sniper
P91
P93
Kickboxing
P79
P16
Clinch Striking
P51
P39
Defensive Striking
P23
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P47
Wrestling
P68
P46
Pressure Wrestling
P70
P20
Top Control
P66
P69
Submission
P34
P82
Anti-Wrestling
P93
P43
Grappling Defense
P85
P49
Scrambler
P55
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P94
Power
P89
P96
Finisher
P76
P65
Damage Resistance
P42
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P24
Fast Starter
P88
P28
Pace
P84
P35
Late Fighter
P49
GLOBAL
P78
Versatility
P91
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
FerreiraRodrigues
3.68Landed / min5.59
3.93Absorbed / min4.78
50%Accuracy52%
52%Defense51%
0.80KD / 150.92
0.00KD abs / 150.39
Grappling / Wrestling
FerreiraRodrigues
1.33TD / 151.96
5.57TD att / 155.50
24%TD accuracy36%
59%TD defense75%
1:10Control / 152:51
0.80Sub att / 150.39
Targets
FerreiraRodrigues
Head71%|74%
Body17%|21%
Leg12%|5%
Position
FerreiraRodrigues
Distance91%|84%
Clinch4%|10%
Ground4%|6%
Ranking evolution Ferreira Rodrigues
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Brunno Ferreira
Brunno Ferreira rides a three-fight win streak and carries real stopping power, with his most recent work backed by a clear finishing threat and an active submission game. His last win came over the No. 18-ranked opponent, and he sits 6-2 in the UFC, 15-2 overall, with 3 months since his last outing.
Gregory Rodrigues
Gregory Rodrigues leans on volume and forward pressure on the feet, backed by solid takedown defense and control once he gets on top. His grappling defense has been trending upward recently. He's the longer, rangier man here, sitting 9-3 in the UFC and 18-6 overall off a win over the No. 24-ranked opponent.
Matchup Read
Rodrigues brings the deeper résumé and the physical frame, but Ferreira owns the sharper finishing tools, so the fight turns on whether it stays in open space or hits the mat. Rodrigues's pressure and 8 cm of reach let him work behind his jab and avoid Ferreira's power. If exchanges get scrappy or go to the floor, Ferreira's submission threat becomes the central danger, which puts a premium on Rodrigues's improving takedown defense and top control.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Rodrigues keeps Ferreira at the end of his jab or lets him close into power range.
- Grappling: if it hits the mat, watch whether Rodrigues stays heavy on top or Ferreira hunts a submission from the scramble.
- Finishing windows: how Rodrigues reacts the first time Ferreira lands clean.