← UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
Mateusz Gamrot vs Esteban Ribovics
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04-11
72.2%
Model
60.9%
Market
1.58
Odds
+11.3
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
limited sample · 6 UFC fightslimited · 6 fights
STRIKING
P34
Striking Initiative
P100
P20
Volume
P100
P69
Striking Efficiency
P87
P31
Range Sniper
P89
P54
Kickboxing
P88
P34
Clinch Striking
P4
P71
Defensive Striking
P56
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P96
Wrestling
P33
P97
Pressure Wrestling
P8
P87
Top Control
P6
P52
Submission
P46
P48
Anti-Wrestling
P60
P77
Grappling Defense
P63
P27
Scrambler
P39
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P32
Power
P67
P9
Finisher
P68
P36
Damage Resistance
P80
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P90
Fast Starter
P36
P78
Pace
P40
P92
Late Fighter
P97
GLOBAL
P98
Versatility
P64
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
GamrotRibovics
3.29Landed / min8.08
2.96Absorbed / min6.28
52%Accuracy44%
60%Defense54%
0.10KD / 150.40
0.51KD abs / 150.20
Grappling / Wrestling
GamrotRibovics
5.15TD / 150.40
13.79TD att / 150.60
37%TD accuracy67%
83%TD defense70%
4:28Control / 150:34
0.10Sub att / 150.20
Targets
GamrotRibovics
Head76%|75%
Body14%|17%
Leg10%|9%
Position
GamrotRibovics
Distance77%|94%
Clinch7%|2%
Ground16%|4%
Ranking evolution Gamrot Ribovics
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Mateusz Gamrot
Mateusz Gamrot leans on strong distance management and stand-up defense to control range, but his most reliable path runs through his wrestling: he changes levels well, gets opponents down, and grinds from top position once there. He also absorbs damage well. At 25-4 overall and 8-4 in the UFC, his last win came against the No. 29-ranked opponent, his last loss against the No. 4.
Esteban Ribovics
Esteban Ribovics brings heavy volume and forward pressure on the feet, and he carries real finishing power, with a knack for ending fights before the judges. His ground control has been trending upward recently. He's 15-2 overall, 4-2 in the UFC with wins in 4 of his last 5, riding a one-fight streak.
Matchup Read
Ribovics owns the early finishing danger, pushing volume and power into the pocket, while Gamrot's value grows the longer it stays technical and physical. The split is clear: if Ribovics keeps it standing and forces exchanges, his pressure meets Gamrot's range control and durability. If Gamrot changes levels, his takedowns and top game drag Ribovics into territory where Ribovics must either threaten off his back or scramble up against sustained control.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Ribovics can trap Gamrot against the fence and open up his volume before the level changes come.
- Grappling: how quickly Gamrot shoots, and whether Ribovics can stay upright or work back to his feet.
- Late rounds: whether Ribovics keeps his finishing threat alive if the fight turns into extended grappling exchanges.