AIKopylov owns the more tested résumé against ranked names, but Tulio holds the sharper matchup-specific tools…

55.3%

Model

62.2%

Market

1.55

Odds

-6.9

Edge (pp)

Marco Tulio

55.3%44.7%

Roman Kopylov

DEC

POWER STRIKER

VOLUME PRESSURE STRIKER · PRECISION STRIKER · DISTANCE KICKBOXER

Power

provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights

Style Matchup

DISTANCE KICKBOXER

PRECISION STRIKER · POWER STRIKER

Kickboxing

established · 11 UFC fightsestablished · 11 fights

STRIKING

P100

Striking Initiative

P56

P97

Volume

P69

P99

Striking Efficiency

P96

P93

Range Sniper

P98

P96

Kickboxing

P98

P32

Clinch Striking

P79

Defensive Striking

P39

GRAPPLING / WRESTLING

P52

Wrestling

P50

P34

Pressure Wrestling

P27

P67

Top Control

P30

Submission

P38

Anti-Wrestling

P36

P20

Grappling Defense

P78

P31

Scrambler

DAMAGE / FINISHING

P99

Power

P93

P66

Finisher

P90

P27

Damage Resistance

P94

FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill

P88

Fast Starter

P39

P92

Pace

P18

—

Late Fighter

P64

GLOBAL

P76

Versatility

P81

Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.

Striking

TulioKopylov

9.31Landed / min4.59

2.34Absorbed / min5.18

64%Accuracy50%

62%Defense52%

2.29KD / 150.68

0.76KD abs / 150.11

Grappling / Wrestling

TulioKopylov

1.53TD / 151.14

3.81TD att / 152.38

40%TD accuracy48%

0%TD defense89%

2:49Control / 151:13

0.00Sub att / 150.00

Targets

Position

Ranking evolution Tulio Kopylov

AI Matchup Analysis

Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.

Marco Tulio

Marco Tulio brings pressure and output on the feet, backing opponents up while managing range and defending well in stand-up exchanges. He takes a shot and keeps coming, and he's sturdy enough to walk through return fire. His 14-2 overall mark includes a 2-1 UFC run, though his last win came against modest regional opposition.

Roman Kopylov

Roman Kopylov's strength here is his takedown defense and ability to force the fight to stay standing. His striking volume and ground control have both been trending upward lately, and he's shown recent durability. He last beat the No. 17-ranked opponent, part of a tested 6-5 UFC tenure.

Matchup Read

Kopylov owns the more tested résumé against ranked names, but Tulio holds the sharper matchup-specific tools standing: more volume, better range control, and a chin to absorb what comes back. Kopylov's takedown defense keeps this a striking fight, which is where Tulio wants it. The question is whether Tulio's pressure overwhelms Kopylov's rising output, or whether Kopylov's climbing volume and durability let him trade on even terms. The orthodox-southpaw matchup shifts the angles for both.

What to Watch

Early striking: whether Tulio's pressure and forward volume keep Kopylov on the back foot or Kopylov matches output as a southpaw.
Takedowns: if Tulio looks to change levels, watch how quickly Kopylov stuffs the attempt and resets standing.
Late rounds: who still carries the pace into the third across three rounds as exchanges accumulate.

Marco Tulio vs Roman Kopylov