← UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Donte Johnson vs Eric McConico
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08-15
77.5%
Model
68.3%
Market
1.41
Odds
+9.2
Edge (pp)
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 4 UFC fightsprovisional · 4 fights
STRIKING
P37
Striking Initiative
P32
P28
Volume
P45
P22
Striking Efficiency
P68
P3
Range Sniper
P32
P19
Kickboxing
P80
P61
Clinch Striking
P87
P70
Defensive Striking
P21
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P59
Wrestling
P42
P32
Pressure Wrestling
P8
P65
Top Control
P23
P42
Submission
P23
P40
Anti-Wrestling
P2
P43
Grappling Defense
P22
P87
Scrambler
P26
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P40
Power
P8
P79
Finisher
P21
P46
Damage Resistance
P9
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P32
Fast Starter
P16
P59
Pace
P12
P62
Late Fighter
P76
GLOBAL
P36
Versatility
P19
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
JohnsonMcConico
2.57Landed / min2.92
1.68Absorbed / min3.05
44%Accuracy47%
64%Defense46%
0.00KD / 150.00
0.00KD abs / 151.27
Grappling / Wrestling
JohnsonMcConico
2.10TD / 150.64
2.10TD att / 150.64
100%TD accuracy100%
75%TD defense69%
4:37Control / 152:01
0.70Sub att / 150.00
Targets
JohnsonMcConico
Head80%|64%
Body7%|19%
Leg13%|17%
Position
JohnsonMcConico
Distance69%|77%
Clinch11%|23%
Ground20%|0%
Ranking evolution Johnson McConico
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Donte Johnson
Donte Johnson comes in unbeaten at 8-0, 2-0 in the UFC, riding an eight-fight win streak. He leans on his ability to drag the fight to the mat and close out before the scorecards, and he's been durable, absorbing damage well across recent outings. His stand-up defense and distance work also hold up.
Eric McConico
Eric McConico is 11-4 overall and 2-2 in the UFC, with two wins in his last 4 UFC fights and a one-fight win streak. He carries real length into this one, standing 10 cm taller with an 8 cm reach advantage, giving him room to work from the outside.
Matchup Read
Johnson's push to get the fight down meets McConico's length on the feet. McConico's reach and height give him space to keep this at range, which is where he wants it, but Johnson's level changes and finishing ability threaten to erase that cushion the moment the fight hits the mat. Johnson's durability also matters if McConico's jab stacks up early. The central question is whether McConico can keep it standing across three rounds.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Johnson can close the distance and change levels before McConico's length starts scoring.
- Early striking: how well McConico uses his reach to keep Johnson at the end of his punches.
- Finishing: whether Johnson threatens a stoppage once the fight hits the mat, or McConico forces the scorecards.
Key Uncertainty
Johnson's profile rests on just two UFC fights, so his finishing and grappling edges are built on a thin top-level sample that hasn't yet been tested against deeper competition.