← UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09-19
Gable StevesonLow Data
vs Sean Sharaf
78.7%
Model
90.0%
Market
1.07
Odds
-11.3
Edge (pp)
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P99
Striking Initiative
P58
P95
Volume
P69
P99
Striking Efficiency
P87
P93
Range Sniper
P88
P93
Kickboxing
P91
P77
Clinch Striking
P12
P55
Defensive Striking
P11
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P32
Wrestling
P42
P52
Pressure Wrestling
P52
P52
Top Control
P54
P0
Submission
P4
P38
Anti-Wrestling
P51
P49
Grappling Defense
P68
P34
Scrambler
P32
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P100
Power
P36
P69
Finisher
P76
P40
Damage Resistance
P49
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P47
Fast Starter
P77
P89
Pace
P44
—
Late Fighter
—
GLOBAL
P53
Versatility
P44
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
StevesonSharaf
16.29Landed / min7.41
5.17Absorbed / min15.00
72%Accuracy44%
61%Defense43%
5.96KD / 150.00
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
StevesonSharaf
0.00TD / 150.93
5.96TD att / 158.40
0%TD accuracy11%
—TD defense—
1:00Control / 150:43
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
StevesonSharaf
Head61%|75%
Body29%|18%
Leg10%|7%
Position
StevesonSharaf
Distance68%|92%
Clinch29%|1%
Ground2%|7%
Ranking evolution Steveson Sharaf
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Gable Steveson
Gable Steveson comes in unbeaten at 4-0 across all organizations and 1-0 in the UFC after taking his debut, riding a four-fight win streak. He brings pressure and volume on the feet, sharp distance management and stand-up defense that's been tightening, a durable chin, and a habit of ending fights before the scorecards.
Sean Sharaf
Sean Sharaf is 4-2 overall and 0-2 in the UFC, coming off 9.2 months out of action. His most concrete asset here is length: he stands 10 cm taller with an 8 cm reach advantage, giving him real room to work at range if he can keep the fight there.
Matchup Read
Steveson's finishing threat makes the early minutes the danger zone for Sharaf, while the longer man's cardio and reach matter more the deeper this goes across three rounds. The central question is space: Sharaf's height and reach give him room to fight at distance, but Steveson's pressure and forward volume are built to close that gap and take away the range Sharaf needs.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Sharaf can use his reach to keep Steveson at the end of punches before the pressure arrives.
- Distance control: how often Steveson closes the gap and forces exchanges inside Sharaf's longer frame.
- Late rounds: if Sharaf survives the early finishing threat, whether he can carry the pace into round three.
Key Uncertainty
With only one UFC fight for Steveson and two for Sharaf, both records offer a thin top-level sample, leaving real room for error in reading how either performs against this level of opposition.