← UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang
Court McGee vs Eric Nolan
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10-03
58.2%
Model
33.1%
Market
2.91
Odds
+25.1
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
STRIKING
P77
Striking Initiative
P1
P79
Volume
P22
P8
Striking Efficiency
P12
P16
Range Sniper
P15
P26
Kickboxing
P42
P4
Clinch Striking
P46
P84
Defensive Striking
P35
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P61
Wrestling
P18
P91
Pressure Wrestling
P0
P85
Top Control
P0
P67
Submission
P18
P87
Anti-Wrestling
P0
P78
Grappling Defense
P2
P47
Scrambler
P31
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P9
Power
P11
P16
Finisher
P45
P39
Damage Resistance
P49
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P33
Fast Starter
—
P95
Pace
P1
P65
Late Fighter
P23
GLOBAL
P61
Versatility
P3
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
McGeeNolan
4.50Landed / min1.68
3.65Absorbed / min2.59
37%Accuracy35%
61%Defense45%
0.15KD / 150.00
0.35KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
McGeeNolan
1.78TD / 150.00
7.17TD att / 150.68
25%TD accuracy0%
71%TD defense44%
3:33Control / 150:14
0.45Sub att / 150.00
Targets
McGeeNolan
Head52%|84%
Body23%|16%
Leg25%|0%
Position
McGeeNolan
Distance85%|89%
Clinch6%|11%
Ground9%|0%
Ranking evolution McGee Nolan
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Court McGee
Court McGee's strengths cluster on the mat: he can change levels and get the fight down, then hold top position and work for finishes, with his submission threat active in recent outings. He adds respectable pressure and output on the feet. At welterweight his UFC ledger sits at 11-13, with one win in his last 5.
Eric Nolan
Eric Nolan brings a striking game that's been climbing in volume lately, and he carries some ability to end fights before the judges. He's 8-5 across all organizations and 0-2 in the UFC so far against modest regional-level opposition, turning around quickly after only 3.2 months out.
Matchup Read
Nolan brings the fresher, more active recent schedule, but McGee owns the sharper matchup-specific tools: if he closes distance and drags this to the mat, his top control and submission threat set the terms. Nolan's path runs through keeping it standing, where his rising output and 8cm of height can stretch exchanges. Whoever dictates whether the fight lives on the feet or the floor shapes most of it.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether McGee's level changes land and he can pin top position rather than getting stood back up.
- Early striking: whether Nolan uses his height to keep range and pile up volume before the fight hits the mat.
- Late rounds: who's still pressing the pace across three rounds as output decides close frames.
Key Uncertainty
McGee returns from 15.6 months out, and Nolan has only two UFC fights on record against modest opposition, so both the older man's current form and the younger man's level remain hard to pin down.