Early, Talbott's volume and pressure set the terms on the feet, and his takedown defense is built to keep it there. The longer the fight stays standing, the more his output compounds. The central danger for him is Figueiredo's ground finishing, so any trip or scramble that lands him on his back shifts the math. Over three rounds, this reads as Talbott's striking output against Figueiredo's need to drag it to the mat.

Ribovics' finishing power meets Green's cleaner distance control and defensive range work, and that collision frames the fight. If Ribovics closes the gap and lands clean, his power can end it early. If Green keeps it long and manages the exchanges, his rising volume and submission threat come into play, pulling the fight toward the later rounds and his own experience edge against better opposition.

Both men bring finishing threat, so this points toward a short, high-stakes striking exchange rather than a decision. Williams' reach advantage and the crossed stances shape the range: he can work behind the jab and control space, while Soldic needs to close that gap to land his own power. Whoever dictates the distance early tilts the fight, and neither has shown reason to expect it going long.

Gautier brings the hotter streak and sharper tools for this matchup, but Kopylov carries the tougher competition on his record. On the feet, Gautier's range control, frame and durability favor him keeping it at distance, where his power becomes relevant. Kopylov's best route runs through his improving top game, so closing the gap and changing levels matters for him. The southpaw-switch dynamic reshapes the angles both men work from.

Rodriguez's top control runs straight into Coria's ability to escape the bottom and return to his feet, which is where much of this fight turns. If Rodriguez can't pin him, exchanges stay standing, where Coria's 8 cm reach edge shapes the space. Coria's recent chin also blunts Rodriguez's finishing threat. Across three rounds, whoever dictates whether the fight stays on the feet or on the mat controls the read.

Pinas brings the cleaner recent résumé and finishing momentum, while Pulyaev owns the sharper tool for this matchup: his push to drag it to the canvas. That collides directly with Pinas's takedown defense, which is where the fight likely turns. If Pulyaev can't ground him, the exchanges stay standing, and that favors Pinas's volume and pressure. The crossed stances and Pulyaev's height shift the striking angles either man can exploit.

On the feet, McGhee's experience against ranked opposition is the steadier reference point over three rounds. The ground changes the picture: Romero's submission danger means McGhee is better served keeping exchanges standing or staying out of bad positions on the mat. Romero's 8 cm of height could help him work behind his length, but it's in grappling scrambles, not reach, where his edge actually lives.

On the mat, the fight tilts toward Wint, whose finishing threat from top or in scrambles becomes the central danger in any ground exchange. That gives Armand a clear reason to keep this upright and avoid prolonged grappling phases, where Wint's submission game and recent habit of closing fights early both come into play. Over three rounds, whoever dictates whether it's a striking match or a grappling one shapes the outcome.

Walker holds the tested résumé against ranked names, but the sharper matchup-specific tools lean toward Parkin, who edges the volume game and controls where the fight takes place. Walker's reach advantage gives him room to work at range, yet Parkin's slight pressure and takedown threat can close that space and drag him into exchanges or to the mat. Walker's rising ground control matters most if Parkin plants him there.

Smith brings the tested record and the proven knack for ending fights early, while Whitehead's main asset is the roughly 5 cm of reach to keep exchanges at a distance. That length gives Whitehead a tool to disrupt Smith's finishing entries early, but letting Smith close the gap plays into his strongest quality. Over three rounds, whether Whitehead holds range or Smith forces the fight into his finishing wheelhouse likely decides it.

The pivot is Dos Anjos's push to get it down against Hernandez's takedown defense. If Hernandez keeps it standing, his reach and recent power favor him over three rounds in the orthodox-southpaw exchanges. If Dos Anjos lands his entries and establishes top position, his control game becomes the grind that decides it. Hernandez's rising ground control also matters if the fight turns into scrambles on the mat.

Vettori's forward pressure and volume meet Naurdiev's range management and stand-up defense, which is where this fight is likely settled. If Naurdiev keeps Vettori at the end of his punches and times the southpaw-orthodox angles, his power becomes the deciding factor. If Vettori closes the gap and keeps the pace high across three rounds, he can turn it into the grind he prefers. Naurdiev's chin helps him weather that output.

Nolan brings the fresher, more active recent schedule, but McGee owns the sharper matchup-specific tools: if he closes distance and drags this to the mat, his top control and submission threat set the terms. Nolan's path runs through keeping it standing, where his rising output and 8cm of height can stretch exchanges. Whoever dictates whether the fight lives on the feet or the floor shapes most of it.