← UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang
Payton Talbott vs Deiveson Figueiredo
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10-03
69.9%
Model
84.2%
Market
1.14
Odds
-14.4
Edge (pp)
limited sample · 6 UFC fightslimited · 6 fights
Style Matchup
established · 21 UFC fightsestablished · 21 fights
STRIKING
P95
Striking Initiative
P2
P79
Volume
P3
P95
Striking Efficiency
P59
P75
Range Sniper
P65
P62
Kickboxing
P50
P77
Clinch Striking
P38
P13
Defensive Striking
P18
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P45
Wrestling
P59
P37
Pressure Wrestling
P47
P48
Top Control
P45
P35
Submission
P80
P11
Anti-Wrestling
P46
P44
Grappling Defense
P32
P69
Scrambler
P63
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P91
Power
P78
P61
Finisher
P54
P76
Damage Resistance
P95
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P91
Fast Starter
P70
P82
Pace
P8
P58
Late Fighter
P71
GLOBAL
P61
Versatility
P56
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
TalbottFigueiredo
5.87Landed / min2.28
3.00Absorbed / min3.25
59%Accuracy53%
45%Defense50%
0.73KD / 150.71
0.00KD abs / 150.06
Grappling / Wrestling
TalbottFigueiredo
0.97TD / 151.65
1.95TD att / 154.83
50%TD accuracy34%
72%TD defense58%
3:20Control / 152:31
0.24Sub att / 151.30
Targets
TalbottFigueiredo
Head72%|58%
Body20%|29%
Leg8%|13%
Position
TalbottFigueiredo
Distance65%|72%
Clinch12%|8%
Ground23%|20%
Ranking evolution Talbott Figueiredo
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Payton Talbott
Talbott brings high striking volume and forward pressure, with his output trending upward in recent outings. He's won his last 2 fights, including a win over the No. 8-ranked opponent, and sits at 5-1 in the UFC with no decline across those bouts. He can keep the fight standing and carries some ability to close the show before the scorecards.
Deiveson Figueiredo
Figueiredo owns a deep 25-7 record across all organizations and 14-7 in the UFC, with his most meaningful threat here being his finishing danger on the ground. His recent win came over the No. 18-ranked opponent, though he's gone 1/5 in his last five UFC fights.
Matchup Read
Early, Talbott's volume and pressure set the terms on the feet, and his takedown defense is built to keep it there. The longer the fight stays standing, the more his output compounds. The central danger for him is Figueiredo's ground finishing, so any trip or scramble that lands him on his back shifts the math. Over three rounds, this reads as Talbott's striking output against Figueiredo's need to drag it to the mat.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Talbott's pressure and volume keep Figueiredo on the back foot and reacting.
- Grappling: whether Figueiredo can close distance and change levels, or gets stuffed and kept standing.
- On the mat: if it does hit the ground, how quickly Figueiredo threatens submissions versus how fast Talbott scrambles up.