AIVettori's forward pressure and volume meet Naurdiev's range management and stand-up defense, which is where …

54.9%

Model

55.9%

Market

1.72

Odds

-1.0

Edge (pp)

Ismail Naurdiev

DEC

54.9%45.1%

Marvin Vettori

DEFENSIVE STRIKER

Striking Defense

limited sample · 7 UFC fightslimited · 7 fights

Style Matchup

DISTANCE KICKBOXER

Kickboxing

established · 17 UFC fightsestablished · 17 fights

STRIKING

P78

Striking Initiative

P70

P67

Volume

P71

P86

Striking Efficiency

P78

P58

Range Sniper

P61

P85

Kickboxing

P78

P44

Clinch Striking

P11

P96

Defensive Striking

P49

GRAPPLING / WRESTLING

P55

Wrestling

P59

P61

Pressure Wrestling

P51

P43

Top Control

P70

P39

Submission

P72

P19

Anti-Wrestling

P90

P55

Grappling Defense

P77

P79

Scrambler

P45

DAMAGE / FINISHING

P49

Power

P67

Finisher

P31

P76

Damage Resistance

P100

FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill

P78

Fast Starter

P38

P62

Pace

P65

Late Fighter

P17

GLOBAL

P85

Versatility

P92

Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.

Striking

NaurdievVettori

3.66Landed / min4.76

1.75Absorbed / min4.61

53%Accuracy46%

65%Defense55%

0.16KD / 150.05

0.00KD abs / 150.00

Grappling / Wrestling

NaurdievVettori

1.48TD / 151.48

3.61TD att / 153.32

41%TD accuracy45%

73%TD defense67%

2:52Control / 152:48

0.16Sub att / 150.31

Targets

Position

Ranking evolution Naurdiev Vettori

AI Matchup Analysis

Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.

Ismail Naurdiev

Naurdiev carries real pop in his hands right now, with recent knockouts and a run of finishes behind him. His ground control has been trending upward lately, and he manages range well while holding up under return fire. A 25-8 overall mark and a 3/5 stretch in his last five UFC outings round out the picture.

Marvin Vettori

Vettori works at a higher output and leans on pressure in the stand-up, pushing a steady pace forward. The taller man by 5 cm, he most recently beat the No. 12-ranked opponent, though his recent UFC run reads 1/5 and his all-organizations record sits at 19-10.

Matchup Read

Vettori's forward pressure and volume meet Naurdiev's range management and stand-up defense, which is where this fight is likely settled. If Naurdiev keeps Vettori at the end of his punches and times the southpaw-orthodox angles, his power becomes the deciding factor. If Vettori closes the gap and keeps the pace high across three rounds, he can turn it into the grind he prefers. Naurdiev's chin helps him weather that output.

What to Watch

Early striking: whether Naurdiev holds the center and lands clean as Vettori walks him down across the open-stance looks.
Pace: whether Vettori's volume mounts through rounds two and three or Naurdiev keeps resetting to range.
Power moments: whether Naurdiev's counters land flush when Vettori steps into exchanges.

Ismail Naurdiev vs Marvin Vettori