← UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang
Alden Coria vs Imanol Rodriguez
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10-03
Alden CoriaLow Data
62.0%
Model
42.0%
Market
2.29
Odds
+20.0
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P81
Striking Initiative
P68
P84
Volume
P39
P41
Striking Efficiency
P45
P13
Range Sniper
P38
P61
Kickboxing
P12
P23
Clinch Striking
P36
P98
Defensive Striking
P47
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P70
Wrestling
P48
P76
Pressure Wrestling
P78
P57
Top Control
P95
P56
Submission
P8
P73
Anti-Wrestling
P41
P40
Grappling Defense
P54
P70
Scrambler
P34
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P14
Power
P99
P43
Finisher
P75
P58
Damage Resistance
P32
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P17
Fast Starter
P64
P84
Pace
P95
P51
Late Fighter
—
GLOBAL
P64
Versatility
P44
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
CoriaRodriguez
4.05Landed / min4.92
2.21Absorbed / min2.35
42%Accuracy55%
70%Defense58%
0.00KD / 151.60
0.00KD abs / 153.21
Grappling / Wrestling
CoriaRodriguez
2.21TD / 151.60
4.05TD att / 154.81
55%TD accuracy33%
56%TD defense—
2:41Control / 155:42
1.47Sub att / 150.00
Targets
CoriaRodriguez
Head73%|76%
Body15%|15%
Leg12%|9%
Position
CoriaRodriguez
Distance85%|65%
Clinch4%|4%
Ground10%|30%
Ranking evolution Coria Rodriguez
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Alden Coria
Alden Coria rides a six-fight win streak and sits 3-0 in the UFC, 13-3 overall. His recent durability stands out, soaking up damage without faltering, and he's hard to hold down, scrambling back to his feet when taken to the mat. He also carries a reach and frame advantage at flyweight.
Imanol Rodriguez
Imanol Rodriguez won his UFC debut and rides a two-fight streak at 7-2 overall. His slight edges come on the mat, where his top control is a touch sharper, and in his recent finishing momentum, with a modest edge in ending fights before the scorecards.
Matchup Read
Rodriguez's top control runs straight into Coria's ability to escape the bottom and return to his feet, which is where much of this fight turns. If Rodriguez can't pin him, exchanges stay standing, where Coria's 8 cm reach edge shapes the space. Coria's recent chin also blunts Rodriguez's finishing threat. Across three rounds, whoever dictates whether the fight stays on the feet or on the mat controls the read.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Rodriguez can hold Coria down or Coria scrambles back up before top control sets in.
- Early striking: whether Coria uses his reach to keep Rodriguez at range or gets drawn into the clinch.
- Finishing windows: whether Rodriguez can hurt a chin that has held up recently, or the fight drifts toward the scorecards.
Key Uncertainty
With only one UFC fight on Rodriguez's record, how his tools translate against this level of competition remains hard to read, leaving his ceiling against Coria largely untested.