← UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang
Johnny Walker vs Mick Parkin
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10-03
53.0%
Model
54.8%
Market
1.76
Odds
-1.7
Edge (pp)
established · 15 UFC fightsestablished · 15 fights
Style Matchup
limited sample · 5 UFC fightslimited · 5 fights
STRIKING
P53
Striking Initiative
P75
P60
Volume
P71
P72
Striking Efficiency
P89
P80
Range Sniper
P69
P58
Kickboxing
P96
P30
Clinch Striking
P18
P29
Defensive Striking
P80
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P14
Wrestling
P35
P5
Pressure Wrestling
P36
P15
Top Control
P69
P48
Submission
P10
P92
Anti-Wrestling
P91
P22
Grappling Defense
P77
P68
Scrambler
P51
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P89
Power
P66
P96
Finisher
P50
P1
Damage Resistance
P78
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P84
Fast Starter
P69
P13
Pace
P53
P36
Late Fighter
P71
GLOBAL
P22
Versatility
P85
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
WalkerParkin
3.68Landed / min4.73
2.88Absorbed / min4.01
53%Accuracy50%
49%Defense60%
0.71KD / 150.24
1.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
WalkerParkin
0.29TD / 150.95
0.71TD att / 152.60
40%TD accuracy36%
53%TD defense75%
1:11Control / 152:24
0.43Sub att / 150.00
Targets
WalkerParkin
Head47%|61%
Body10%|8%
Leg43%|31%
Position
WalkerParkin
Distance69%|91%
Clinch7%|4%
Ground24%|5%
Ranking evolution Walker Parkin
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Johnny Walker
Johnny Walker brings a long 22-10 overall mark and recent wins against ranked opposition, with his last victory over the No. 15-ranked opponent and his last loss to the No. 10. He owns the reach and frame here, and his ground control and striking output have both been trending upward lately.
Mick Parkin
Mick Parkin is unbeaten at 10-1 overall and 4-1 in the UFC, taking four of his last five there. He carries slight advantages in striking volume and pressure, in both getting the fight down and keeping it standing, and in absorbing recent damage. His lone loss came to the No. 14-ranked opponent.
Matchup Read
Walker holds the tested résumé against ranked names, but the sharper matchup-specific tools lean toward Parkin, who edges the volume game and controls where the fight takes place. Walker's reach advantage gives him room to work at range, yet Parkin's slight pressure and takedown threat can close that space and drag him into exchanges or to the mat. Walker's rising ground control matters most if Parkin plants him there.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Walker uses his 8 cm reach to keep Parkin at the end of his punches or gets walked into pressure.
- Grappling: if Parkin changes levels, watch whether Walker's improving control lets him scramble the exchanges in his favor.
- Late rounds: who sets the pace across three rounds as the volume game accumulates.
Key Uncertainty
Parkin returns after 18.4 months out, a layoff long enough to leave real questions over his timing and output until he's tested in there.