← UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10-24
51.1%
Model
39.1%
Market
2.46
Odds
+12.0
Edge (pp)
established · 17 UFC fightsestablished · 17 fights
Style Matchup
established · 16 UFC fightsestablished · 16 fights
STRIKING
P88
Striking Initiative
P86
P66
Volume
P71
P29
Striking Efficiency
P95
P14
Range Sniper
P84
P27
Kickboxing
P82
P69
Clinch Striking
P72
P36
Defensive Striking
P76
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P95
Wrestling
P66
P99
Pressure Wrestling
P57
P95
Top Control
P52
P27
Submission
P13
P86
Anti-Wrestling
P82
P95
Grappling Defense
P99
P63
Scrambler
P53
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P13
Power
P64
P2
Finisher
P4
P98
Damage Resistance
P99
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P76
Fast Starter
P71
P100
Pace
P57
P32
Late Fighter
P90
GLOBAL
P83
Versatility
P99
Current fighter profiles · percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).
Striking
DvalishviliYan
4.42Landed / min5.16
2.80Absorbed / min4.24
42%Accuracy55%
54%Defense60%
0.05KD / 150.53
0.05KD abs / 150.05
Grappling / Wrestling
DvalishviliYan
5.97TD / 151.70
16.95TD att / 153.46
35%TD accuracy49%
76%TD defense86%
5:23Control / 152:15
0.35Sub att / 150.11
Targets
DvalishviliYan
Head67%|69%
Body17%|19%
Leg16%|12%
Position
DvalishviliYan
Distance64%|75%
Clinch15%|12%
Ground21%|13%
Ranking evolution Dvalishvili Yan
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Merab Dvalishvili
Dvalishvili brings the more dangerous recent submission threat and a solid top game once he gets the fight to the mat. He manages range and defends stand-up exchanges a touch better, and he's shown a sturdy chin. His last win came over the No. 5-ranked opponent, part of a 21-5 overall mark.
Petr Yan
Yan rides a four-fight win streak capped by a victory over the No. 1-ranked opponent, with a 20-5 record across all organizations. His defensive work has been trending upward recently, his cardio holds up well into the later rounds, and he carries a bit more pop to finish before the scorecards.
Matchup Read
Yan's finishing threat makes the opening rounds his best window, while Dvalishvili's late-round value grows if he can drag this into the trenches. The fight turns on whether Dvalishvili closes distance and converts his top game and submission threat against Yan's improving defense, or whether Yan keeps it standing and lets his pace and output accumulate. Yan's switch stance reshapes the angles on entries. Durability may keep Dvalishvili in deep exchanges longer.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Yan can keep the fight at range and land the heavier shots before Dvalishvili ties him up.
- Grappling: how often Dvalishvili reaches the mat and whether his top control holds long enough to hunt submissions.
- Late rounds: whether Yan's pace stays sharp or Dvalishvili's volume and chin take over the back half.