AIOn the feet, Cuamba's length and sharper distance management favor keeping Sopaj on the end of his strikes, …

61.7%

Model

40.9%

Market

2.36

Odds

+20.8

Edge (pp)

Timmy Cuamba

61.7%38.3%

Benardo Sopaj

SUB

DEFENSIVE STRIKER

Striking Defense

provisional · 4 UFC fightsprovisional · 4 fights

Style Matchup

POWER STRIKER

Power

provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights

STRIKING

Striking Initiative

P44

P11

Volume

P23

P53

Striking Efficiency

P69

P61

Range Sniper

P60

P49

Kickboxing

P15

P65

Clinch Striking

P67

P75

Defensive Striking

P15

GRAPPLING / WRESTLING

P55

Wrestling

P69

P85

Pressure Wrestling

P51

P55

Top Control

P68

Submission

P25

P61

Anti-Wrestling

P31

P40

Grappling Defense

P62

P75

Scrambler

P33

DAMAGE / FINISHING

P67

Power

P83

P25

Finisher

P60

P52

Damage Resistance

P31

FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill

Fast Starter

P14

P20

Pace

P40

P71

Late Fighter

P63

GLOBAL

P54

Versatility

P51

Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.

Striking

CuambaSopaj

2.75Landed / min4.24

3.34Absorbed / min4.88

48%Accuracy56%

59%Defense50%

0.28KD / 150.51

0.28KD abs / 150.51

Grappling / Wrestling

CuambaSopaj

1.67TD / 152.53

5.29TD att / 153.54

32%TD accuracy71%

67%TD defense77%

2:52Control / 153:31

0.00Sub att / 150.00

Targets

Position

Ranking evolution Cuamba Sopaj

AI Matchup Analysis

Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.

Timmy Cuamba

Timmy Cuamba carries a notable physical advantage, with a 13 cm reach edge to work behind at range, and his stand-up defense and distance control lean in his favor. He's 2-2 in the UFC with two wins in his last four, riding a two-fight streak across all organizations and 10-3 overall.

Benardo Sopaj

Benardo Sopaj's most meaningful trait is his ability to close out fights before the scorecards, backed by added volume and forward pressure on the feet plus a takedown threat and submission danger on the mat. He's 12-3 across all organizations, 1-1 in the UFC.

Matchup Read

On the feet, Cuamba's length and sharper distance management favor keeping Sopaj on the end of his strikes, where the reach gap shapes the exchanges. Sopaj's path runs through pressure and level changes: if he closes the gap, his takedowns and ground finishing become the central danger. The read is Cuamba managing range across three rounds against Sopaj's drive to compress space and finish.

What to Watch

Early striking: whether Cuamba keeps Sopaj at the end of his reach or lets him walk inside.
Grappling: how often Sopaj changes levels, and whether he can hold top position once the fight hits the mat.
Late rounds: if the fight stays standing deep into round three, who's dictating the range.

Key Uncertainty

Sopaj is tough to read here, with only two UFC fights on record and a layoff of nearly 16 months since he last competed.

Timmy Cuamba vs Benardo Sopaj