← UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Rizvan Kuniev vs Tyrell Fortune
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07-25
Rizvan KunievLow Data
62.4%
Model
72.8%
Market
1.32
Odds
-10.4
Edge (pp)
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
STRIKING
P37
Striking Initiative
P0
P41
Volume
P1
P41
Striking Efficiency
P28
P12
Range Sniper
P7
P40
Kickboxing
P11
P90
Clinch Striking
P76
P25
Defensive Striking
P42
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P22
Wrestling
P67
P14
Pressure Wrestling
P56
P58
Top Control
P88
P17
Submission
P9
P13
Anti-Wrestling
P47
P69
Grappling Defense
P62
P31
Scrambler
P35
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P12
Power
P25
P26
Finisher
P40
P53
Damage Resistance
P43
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P4
Fast Starter
P54
P27
Pace
P19
P72
Late Fighter
P41
GLOBAL
P26
Versatility
P40
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
KunievFortune
2.93Landed / min2.00
2.90Absorbed / min3.13
44%Accuracy51%
46%Defense57%
0.00KD / 150.00
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
KunievFortune
0.00TD / 153.00
0.00TD att / 155.00
—TD accuracy60%
91%TD defense100%
3:31Control / 155:07
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
KunievFortune
Head78%|80%
Body17%|20%
Leg5%|0%
Position
KunievFortune
Distance65%|60%
Clinch35%|20%
Ground0%|20%
Ranking evolution Kuniev Fortune
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Rizvan Kuniev
Kuniev comes in at 13-3 across all organizations with a 1-1 UFC mark, his last win coming over the No. 7-ranked opponent and his loss to the No. 6. His ground control has been trending upward lately, and he holds a 10 cm height advantage to work behind. He's shown he can hang with higher-level competition.
Tyrell Fortune
Fortune carries an 18-3 record across all organizations and a four-fight win streak into this one, having won his UFC debut. His recent wins have come against lower-ranked opposition, and he's been active, with just under four months since his last outing.
Matchup Read
Fortune brings the hotter streak and more total wins, but Kuniev's tested résumé against ranked opposition is the stronger matchup-specific marker here. The ground is where this likely tilts: Kuniev's improving control game, paired with his height, gives him something to impose if he gets position. Over three rounds, whoever dictates where the fight happens and can sustain top pressure stands to decide it.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Kuniev can convert position into sustained top control once the fight hits the mat.
- Striking range: how Kuniev uses his 10 cm height edge to manage distance before any level changes.
- Pace: which man carries his output cleanly through the third round.
Key Uncertainty
With only two UFC fights for Kuniev and a single appearance for Fortune, both men offer a thin top-level sample, which limits how confidently their form reads against this level of competition.