← UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Kyoji Horiguchi vs Amir Albazi
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02-07
53.1%
Model
76.4%
Market
1.26
Odds
-23.4
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
limited sample · 6 UFC fightslimited · 6 fights
STRIKING
P73
Striking Initiative
P11
P56
Volume
P22
P44
Striking Efficiency
P2
P41
Range Sniper
P15
P26
Kickboxing
P8
P50
Clinch Striking
P3
P88
Defensive Striking
P79
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P66
Wrestling
P49
P61
Pressure Wrestling
P53
P59
Top Control
P86
P52
Submission
P87
P15
Anti-Wrestling
P52
P16
Grappling Defense
P39
P27
Scrambler
P27
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P87
Power
P56
P38
Finisher
P80
P85
Damage Resistance
P82
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P77
Fast Starter
P62
P76
Pace
P47
P74
Late Fighter
P13
GLOBAL
P61
Versatility
P18
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
HoriguchiAlbazi
3.64Landed / min2.72
2.26Absorbed / min3.71
47%Accuracy35%
63%Defense62%
0.72KD / 150.35
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
HoriguchiAlbazi
1.80TD / 151.39
4.20TD att / 154.34
43%TD accuracy32%
55%TD defense50%
3:23Control / 153:36
0.12Sub att / 150.52
Targets
HoriguchiAlbazi
Head73%|69%
Body18%|17%
Leg9%|14%
Position
HoriguchiAlbazi
Distance65%|86%
Clinch15%|1%
Ground19%|13%
Ranking evolution Horiguchi Albazi
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Kyoji Horiguchi
Kyoji Horiguchi rides a six-fight win streak, most recently beating the No. 14-ranked opponent, with a strong 35-5 mark overall and 8-1 in the UFC. His striking output and top control have both been climbing, and he carries real finishing momentum. His distance work, stand-up defense and chin all read slightly in his favor.
Amir Albazi
Amir Albazi enters at 17-2 overall and 5-1 in the UFC, with his last win coming over the No. 4-ranked opponent. His central weapon is finishing threat on the ground, and he owns a sizable frame, carrying a 13 cm reach advantage. He's been out for 15.2 months.
Matchup Read
Albazi brings the higher-quality recent scalp and the longer frame, but Horiguchi owns the sharper matchup-specific tools standing. His rising striking output and slight defensive edge at range matter against Albazi's 13 cm reach, since closing distance cleanly neutralizes the length. The danger reverses on the mat: if Albazi drags it down, his ground finishing becomes the central threat, making Horiguchi's improved top control and get-back-up work decisive.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Horiguchi can close the 13 cm reach gap and land inside without eating Albazi's length on entry.
- Grappling: any time Albazi gets top position or the fight hits the mat, watch how quickly Horiguchi neutralizes the finishing threat.
- Ring activity: signs of sharpness or timing lapses from Albazi after 15.2 months out.
Key Uncertainty
Albazi's 15.2-month layoff is the main limit on reading this matchup, since a gap of that length leaves his current sharpness and timing untested against Horiguchi's active recent form.