← UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Charles Johnson vs Bruno Silva
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03-14
79.0%
Model
64.8%
Market
1.49
Odds
+14.3
Edge (pp)
established · 13 UFC fightsestablished · 13 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P86
Striking Initiative
P38
P87
Volume
P45
P87
Striking Efficiency
P81
P84
Range Sniper
P93
P90
Kickboxing
P73
P60
Clinch Striking
P45
P72
Defensive Striking
P7
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P11
Wrestling
P54
P19
Pressure Wrestling
P75
P9
Top Control
P38
P35
Submission
P47
P32
Anti-Wrestling
P13
P43
Grappling Defense
P39
P46
Scrambler
P14
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P56
Power
P88
P35
Finisher
P91
P64
Damage Resistance
P23
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P4
Fast Starter
P39
P39
Pace
P34
P81
Late Fighter
P70
GLOBAL
P44
Versatility
P45
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
JohnsonSilva
4.68Landed / min4.00
3.94Absorbed / min5.07
50%Accuracy50%
57%Defense47%
0.37KD / 150.71
0.28KD abs / 150.64
Grappling / Wrestling
JohnsonSilva
0.55TD / 151.51
2.77TD att / 155.24
20%TD accuracy29%
67%TD defense71%
1:05Control / 152:04
0.37Sub att / 150.16
Targets
JohnsonSilva
Head50%|66%
Body28%|19%
Leg21%|15%
Position
JohnsonSilva
Distance82%|79%
Clinch13%|9%
Ground5%|12%
Ranking evolution Johnson Silva
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Charles Johnson
Charles Johnson works best at range, using a 13cm reach advantage and switch-stance looks to manage distance and keep exchanges on the outside. His stand-up defense is a touch sharper here, and he carries a strong gas tank deep into fights. His chin has held up reasonably well recently. Last win came over the No. 42-ranked opponent.
Bruno Silva
Bruno Silva brings a deep all-organizations résumé at 38-24 and a live submission threat, the most dangerous tool he carries into this matchup. He's on a one-fight win streak, with his last victory coming against the No. 43-ranked opponent. His own durability has held up of late despite a thin recent UFC run.
Matchup Read
Standing favors Johnson's range and length; the ground brings Silva's submission threat into play. The reach gap lets Johnson fight on the outside and keep this a kickboxing match, where his conditioning grows in value over the distance. Silva's path runs through closing that space and getting the fight to the mat, where his finishing becomes the central danger. Johnson's recent durability matters most if Silva's power connects on entries.
What to Watch
- Distance: whether Johnson keeps Silva at the end of his range or gets drawn into close exchanges.
- Grappling: if the fight hits the mat, how quickly Silva hunts for a submission before Johnson can scramble or stand.
- Late rounds: whether Johnson's pace tells as the fight wears on and exchanges pile up.