← UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Hecher Sosa vs Luan Lacerda
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03-14
Hecher SosaLow Data
vs Luan Lacerda
58.6%
Model
67.2%
Market
1.43
Odds
-8.6
Edge (pp)
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
Style Matchup
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P31
Volume
P41
Striking Efficiency
P51
Range Sniper
P40
Kickboxing
P63
Clinch Striking
P52
Defensive Striking
P12
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P69
Pressure Wrestling
P66
Top Control
P70
Submission
P95
Anti-Wrestling
P77
Grappling Defense
P49
Scrambler
P73
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P0
Finisher
P82
Damage Resistance
P52
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P87
Pace
P59
Late Fighter
P47
GLOBAL
Versatility
P48
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
SosaLacerda
—Landed / min4.02
—Absorbed / min5.79
—Accuracy46%
—Defense47%
—KD / 150.00
—KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
SosaLacerda
—TD / 152.29
—TD att / 155.49
—TD accuracy42%
—TD defense67%
—Control / 153:42
—Sub att / 150.91
Targets
SosaLacerda
Head—|45%
Body—|48%
Leg—|7%
Position
SosaLacerda
Distance—|84%
Clinch—|7%
Ground—|9%
Ranking evolution Sosa Lacerda
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Hecher Sosa
Hecher Sosa arrives on an 11-fight win streak and a 14-1 overall record, though built against modest regional opposition. He stands 5 cm taller than Lacerda, giving him some height to work with in the striking exchanges.
Luan Lacerda
Luan Lacerda's most meaningful weapon is his finishing threat once the fight hits the mat, and he's carried real finishing momentum through his recent bouts. He's 13-3 overall and 1-2 in the UFC, winning one of his last three there.
Matchup Read
Standing, Sosa's height offers him room to fight at range and keep the exchanges long. The floor is where things shift toward Lacerda, whose danger on the ground is the central threat here. That makes Sosa's ability to stay upright, or scramble back to his feet, the pivotal question. If Lacerda drags it down and settles into top position, his submission threat becomes the story; if Sosa keeps it standing, he dictates terms.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Lacerda can close distance and get the fight to the mat, or Sosa keeps it upright.
- Ground exchanges: if it does go down, how quickly Lacerda hunts for a finish versus how fast Sosa works back up.
- Striking range: whether Sosa uses his height to fight long and keep Lacerda at the end of his strikes.
Key Uncertainty
Sosa is making his UFC debut with no promotional history to draw on, so how his regional-built streak translates against this level of opposition remains the main unknown in reading the matchup.