AISousa's knack for ending fights early meets Miranda's length and frame. If Sousa can close the 13 cm reach g…

71.5%

Model

69.9%

Market

1.38

Odds

+1.6

Edge (pp)

Manoel Sousa

DEC

71.5%28.5%

Richie Miranda

POWER STRIKER

VOLUME PRESSURE STRIKER

Power

provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights

Style Matchup

No UFC data yet

UFC debut · style profile after first fight

STRIKING

P81

Striking Initiative

P91

Volume

P53

Striking Efficiency

P94

Range Sniper

P77

Kickboxing

P49

Clinch Striking

P37

Defensive Striking

GRAPPLING / WRESTLING

P23

Wrestling

P15

Pressure Wrestling

Top Control

P38

Submission

P12

Anti-Wrestling

P20

Grappling Defense

P33

Scrambler

DAMAGE / FINISHING

P100

Power

P68

Finisher

P48

Damage Resistance

FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill

P42

Fast Starter

P45

Pace

P71

Late Fighter

GLOBAL

P20

Versatility

Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.

Striking

SousaMiranda

5.00Landed / min—

5.92Absorbed / min—

40%Accuracy—

51%Defense—

2.11KD / 15—

0.00KD abs / 15—

Grappling / Wrestling

SousaMiranda

0.00TD / 15—

3.17TD att / 15—

0%TD accuracy—

50%TD defense—

1:13Control / 15—

1.06Sub att / 15—

Targets

Position

Ranking evolution Sousa Miranda

AI Matchup Analysis

Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.

Manoel Sousa

Manoel Sousa comes in on a 3-fight win streak with a 14-1 record across all organizations and a winning UFC debut behind him. His standout trait is the ability to close out fights early, and that finishing form has carried through his recent run. He last beat modest regional opposition.

Richie Miranda

Richie Miranda rides a 7-fight win streak into his UFC debut at 13-1 overall. He owns a real physical advantage here, carrying 13 cm of reach on Sousa, and fights out of the southpaw stance against Sousa's orthodox.

Matchup Read

Sousa's knack for ending fights early meets Miranda's length and frame. If Sousa can close the 13 cm reach gap and work inside, his finishing ability becomes the central threat in exchanges. Miranda's priority is using that reach to keep Sousa at the end of his punches, where the southpaw-orthodox angles complicate Sousa's entries. The question is whether Sousa gets through the distance across three rounds.

What to Watch

Early striking: whether Sousa can cut the distance past Miranda's reach or gets kept on the end of jabs.
Stance angles: how the southpaw-orthodox matchup shapes the lead-hand exchanges and entries.
Finishing windows: whether Sousa can create the stoppage openings his recent run has been built on.

Key Uncertainty

With Miranda making his UFC debut and Sousa holding just one octagon appearance, there's very little top-level tape on either man to read this matchup against.

Manoel Sousa vs Richie Miranda