← UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Ty Miller vs Billy Ray Goff
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08-08
Ty MillerLow Data
58.0%
Model
71.3%
Market
1.35
Odds
-13.3
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
STRIKING
P100
Striking Initiative
P96
P99
Volume
P92
P95
Striking Efficiency
P69
P97
Range Sniper
P77
P82
Kickboxing
P88
P38
Clinch Striking
P35
P39
Defensive Striking
P69
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P29
Wrestling
P37
P0
Pressure Wrestling
P87
P39
Top Control
P75
P74
Submission
P3
P39
Anti-Wrestling
P37
P51
Grappling Defense
P30
P35
Scrambler
P31
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P62
Power
P87
P54
Finisher
P62
P42
Damage Resistance
P61
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P36
Fast Starter
P48
P35
Pace
P97
—
Late Fighter
P36
GLOBAL
P50
Versatility
P53
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
MillerGoff
11.84Landed / min7.11
7.22Absorbed / min5.16
49%Accuracy47%
51%Defense59%
3.01KD / 150.68
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
MillerGoff
0.00TD / 150.68
0.00TD att / 159.51
—TD accuracy7%
100%TD defense50%
0:09Control / 153:31
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
MillerGoff
Head93%|49%
Body7%|20%
Leg0%|31%
Position
MillerGoff
Distance93%|92%
Clinch5%|7%
Ground2%|1%
Ranking evolution Miller Goff
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Ty Miller
Ty Miller rides a seven-fight win streak into this bout, 28-13 overall and a winner in his UFC debut. He brings pressure and output on the feet, with that volume trending upward recently. His grappling plays both ways: strong takedown defense to keep it standing, plus a real finishing threat once the fight hits the mat. A 13cm reach advantage and taller frame give him room to operate.
Billy Ray Goff
Billy Ray Goff is 9-4 across all organizations and 1-2 in the UFC, with one win in his last 3 trips to the Octagon. A switch-stance fighter, he's been out for over 14 months since his last appearance, the longest of his recent layoffs.
Matchup Read
Early, Miller's pressure and rising output test whether Goff can hold ground against the 13cm reach deficit and steady forward volume. As the fight wears on, Miller's grappling becomes the larger concern: his takedown defense lets him keep exchanges where he wants, and if it does reach the mat, his finishing threat on top is the central danger. Goff needs to close the gap and keep this out of grinding ground positions to stay in it over three rounds.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Goff can get inside the longer reach or eats volume walking in across the first round.
- Grappling: if it hits the mat, watch whether Goff can scramble free before Miller settles into a finishing position.
- Late rounds: whether Goff's pace holds across three rounds after a 14-month layoff.
Key Uncertainty
Reading this is complicated by Miller having just one UFC fight on record and Goff returning from more than 14 months out, leaving both fighters' current form against this level hard to pin down.