← UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Jackson McVey vs Wes Schultz
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08-22
52.1%
Model
61.9%
Market
1.56
Odds
-9.8
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
STRIKING
P76
Striking Initiative
P0
P53
Volume
P1
P76
Striking Efficiency
P23
P59
Range Sniper
P46
P23
Kickboxing
P25
P96
Clinch Striking
P76
P17
Defensive Striking
P35
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P14
Wrestling
P23
P23
Pressure Wrestling
P56
P70
Top Control
P14
P85
Submission
P85
P42
Anti-Wrestling
P17
P6
Grappling Defense
P0
P84
Scrambler
P89
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P79
Power
P67
P88
Finisher
P79
P49
Damage Resistance
P24
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P77
Fast Starter
—
P84
Pace
P11
—
Late Fighter
P35
GLOBAL
P27
Versatility
P10
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
McVeySchultz
6.51Landed / min1.05
3.37Absorbed / min1.88
69%Accuracy50%
24%Defense31%
1.20KD / 151.05
0.00KD abs / 152.09
Grappling / Wrestling
McVeySchultz
0.00TD / 150.00
1.20TD att / 159.42
0%TD accuracy0%
0%TD defense0%
5:30Control / 152:11
1.20Sub att / 155.23
Targets
McVeySchultz
Head58%|40%
Body41%|53%
Leg1%|7%
Position
McVeySchultz
Distance19%|60%
Clinch64%|40%
Ground17%|0%
Ranking evolution McVey Schultz
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Jackson McVey
Jackson McVey brings the busier, more forward-pushing striking, leaning on volume and forward pressure. Once the fight hits the mat he's effective controlling from top position. He hasn't been stopped recently, and at 7-2 overall he arrives on a one-fight win streak, standing five centimeters taller as a southpaw.
Wes Schultz
Wes Schultz manages range well and is the sharper defensive striker, better at controlling distance and avoiding clean exchanges. His path to the mat is the stronger one here, and he carries a durable chin. At 9-3 across all organizations, he's also on a one-fight win streak.
Matchup Read
Standing splits cleanly: McVey's output and pressure meet Schultz's range control and defense, so whether McVey can close the gap past the jab decides the striking. On the mat the roles reverse. Schultz owns the better route to get it down, but McVey is the stronger man once there, controlling from top. If Schultz scores takedowns, he still has to deal with McVey's top game rather than inherit control automatically.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether McVey can walk Schultz down and land volume, or Schultz keeps him at range and picks him off.
- Grappling: who ends up on top after Schultz's takedown entries, given McVey's control once the fight hits the floor.
- Across three rounds: whether the fight settles into Schultz's range game or McVey's pressure and top position.
Key Uncertainty
With only two UFC fights to judge Schultz by, his level against this caliber of opposition is hard to pin down, leaving some question over how his range game holds up here.