AIThe early edge leans toward Rakic's grappling: his slight advantage both in changing levels and in keeping i…

56.5%

Model

74.7%

Market

1.29

Odds

-18.2

Edge (pp)

Aleksandar Rakic

DEC

56.5%43.5%

Marcin Tybura

HIGH-PACE GRINDER

Pace · Top Control

established · 11 UFC fightsestablished · 11 fights

Style Matchup

HIGH-PACE GRINDER

Pace · Top Control · Wrestling Pressure

established · 24 UFC fightsestablished · 24 fights

STRIKING

P72

Striking Initiative

P59

P44

Volume

P37

P45

Striking Efficiency

P51

P29

Range Sniper

P21

P39

Kickboxing

P44

P51

Clinch Striking

P44

P24

Defensive Striking

P46

GRAPPLING / WRESTLING

P16

Wrestling

P47

P60

Pressure Wrestling

P72

P94

Top Control

P75

P21

Submission

P56

P51

Anti-Wrestling

P78

P80

Grappling Defense

P85

P23

Scrambler

P83

DAMAGE / FINISHING

P74

Power

P19

P56

Finisher

P29

P32

Damage Resistance

P27

FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill

P68

Fast Starter

P40

P85

Pace

P71

P20

Late Fighter

P89

GLOBAL

P50

Versatility

P76

Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.

Striking

RakicTybura

4.13Landed / min3.56

2.86Absorbed / min3.26

50%Accuracy48%

51%Defense55%

0.51KD / 150.06

0.26KD abs / 150.34

Grappling / Wrestling

RakicTybura

0.64TD / 151.30

2.94TD att / 153.91

22%TD accuracy33%

86%TD defense71%

4:45Control / 154:17

0.13Sub att / 150.11

Targets

Position

Ranking evolution Rakic Tybura

AI Matchup Analysis

Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.

Aleksandar Rakic

Rakic brings a slight edge in getting the fight to the mat and in stuffing takedowns to keep exchanges on his terms. His last win came against the No. 7-ranked opponent, and his recent UFC run reads 1 win in his last 5. He's been out 9.2 months.

Marcin Tybura

Tybura carries a deep 27-11 cushion across all organizations and has shown an upward trend in his striking lately, along with tightening defensive work. His cardio over the distance is a slight plus, and he turned around quickly at 4.1 months off. He is the older man by six years.

Matchup Read

The early edge leans toward Rakic's grappling: his slight advantage both in changing levels and in keeping it standing lets him dictate where exchanges happen. Tybura's value grows later, with the better gas tank over three rounds and rising striking sharpness. If Rakic can't impose takedowns or stuff Tybura's, the fight drifts into the distance exchanges where Tybura's improving output and endurance start to matter.

What to Watch

Early grappling: whether Rakic lands his level changes or forces the fight to stay standing on his terms.
Striking exchanges: whether Tybura's recent sharpness on the feet shows up against Rakic.
Late rounds: whether the pace holds for Tybura as the third round approaches.

Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura