← UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Bogdan Grad vs Dennis Buzukja
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08-01
77.8%
Model
63.0%
Market
1.53
Odds
+14.8
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
limited sample · 5 UFC fightslimited · 5 fights
STRIKING
P9
Striking Initiative
P58
P3
Volume
P90
P22
Striking Efficiency
P42
P7
Range Sniper
P88
P4
Kickboxing
P70
P81
Clinch Striking
P12
P20
Defensive Striking
P48
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P91
Wrestling
P6
P80
Pressure Wrestling
P4
P85
Top Control
P6
P23
Submission
P6
P19
Anti-Wrestling
P42
P44
Grappling Defense
P15
P34
Scrambler
P47
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P29
Power
P46
P69
Finisher
P14
P27
Damage Resistance
P12
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P46
Fast Starter
P0
P80
Pace
P20
P12
Late Fighter
P52
GLOBAL
P37
Versatility
P3
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
GradBuzukja
2.81Landed / min4.68
2.21Absorbed / min4.85
59%Accuracy41%
49%Defense53%
0.00KD / 150.35
0.50KD abs / 151.06
Grappling / Wrestling
GradBuzukja
5.02TD / 150.00
12.56TD att / 150.71
40%TD accuracy0%
75%TD defense57%
6:43Control / 150:58
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
GradBuzukja
Head65%|57%
Body19%|23%
Leg15%|20%
Position
GradBuzukja
Distance33%|91%
Clinch21%|4%
Ground45%|5%
Ranking evolution Grad Buzukja
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Bogdan Grad
Bogdan Grad brings the more complete toolkit here: sharp distance management with solid stand-up defense, a reliable path to drag the fight down, and heavy top control once there. He carries real finishing ability and a durable chin, with no recent stoppage loss on his ledger. 15-4 across all organizations.
Dennis Buzukja
Dennis Buzukja switches stances, giving him the option to change his look on the feet. He sits at 1-4 in the UFC and 12-6 overall, with a quicker turnaround at 3.4 months since his last outing.
Matchup Read
Buzukja's recent record sits against a Grad who owns the sharper matchup-specific tools: distance control standing, the level changes to put it on the mat, and the top pressure to keep it there. If Grad imposes his grappling, his finishing threat compounds the danger. Buzukja's switch-stance looks can complicate the striking range, but he needs to deny the takedown entries and keep this upright to steer it toward the scorecards over three rounds.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Buzukja's stance switches disrupt Grad's range or just invite the level change.
- Grappling: how quickly Grad closes distance to put it on the mat and whether Buzukja scrambles up.
- Top position: if Grad settles into control, watch whether his finishing threat opens up.