← UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Daniel Zellhuber vs King Green
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02-28
58.5%
Model
80.5%
Market
1.20
Odds
-22.0
Edge (pp)
limited sample · 6 UFC fightslimited · 6 fights
Style Matchup
established · 26 UFC fightsestablished · 26 fights
STRIKING
P77
Striking Initiative
P97
P93
Volume
P91
P29
Striking Efficiency
P94
P61
Range Sniper
P75
P60
Kickboxing
P90
P12
Clinch Striking
P40
P66
Defensive Striking
P93
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P5
Wrestling
P49
P1
Pressure Wrestling
P50
P27
Top Control
P56
P47
Submission
P64
P52
Anti-Wrestling
P97
P94
Grappling Defense
P91
P8
Scrambler
P53
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P66
Power
P27
P41
Finisher
P26
P81
Damage Resistance
P44
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P14
Fast Starter
P86
P22
Pace
P74
P73
Late Fighter
P98
GLOBAL
P21
Versatility
P99
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
ZellhuberGreen
5.50Landed / min6.43
5.83Absorbed / min3.54
37%Accuracy54%
57%Defense62%
0.36KD / 150.26
0.18KD abs / 150.26
Grappling / Wrestling
ZellhuberGreen
0.00TD / 151.16
0.36TD att / 152.70
0%TD accuracy43%
95%TD defense74%
0:27Control / 152:08
0.18Sub att / 150.26
Targets
ZellhuberGreen
Head64%|58%
Body27%|25%
Leg9%|17%
Position
ZellhuberGreen
Distance92%|83%
Clinch3%|9%
Ground5%|9%
Ranking evolution Zellhuber Green
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Daniel Zellhuber
Zellhuber brings a substantial frame to this matchup, with a 15 cm reach advantage to work behind. His recent chin has held up well, and he hasn't been stopped in his recent run. He carries a modest edge in getting the fight down, defending takedowns, and closing a fight before the judges, backed by a 15-3 overall mark.
King Green
Green holds a slight advantage in managing range and defending on the feet, which becomes relevant against a longer opponent. He enters off a win and a quick 2.5-month turnaround, with a deep 33-17 record across all organizations and plenty of mileage at lightweight.
Matchup Read
Green's distance management and stand-up defense meet Zellhuber's reach and his push to get the fight to the mat. On the feet, Green's defensive sharpness has to neutralize the length Zellhuber fires behind. If Zellhuber can't keep it standing on his terms, his slight takedown edge and finishing threat tilt the exchanges on the ground. Zellhuber's recent durability also matters in longer exchanges where Green looks to counter.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Green can close the 15 cm reach gap and land cleanly inside Zellhuber's jab range.
- Grappling: whether Zellhuber turns his takedown attempts into real top time or gets shut down and kept standing.
- Late rounds: how Green's quick turnaround holds up against Zellhuber's proven recent durability as exchanges pile up.