← UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Jordan Leavitt vs Joanderson Brito
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06-06
61.8%
Model
38.3%
Market
2.51
Odds
+23.5
Edge (pp)
established · 9 UFC fightsestablished · 9 fights
Style Matchup
established · 9 UFC fightsestablished · 9 fights
STRIKING
P47
Striking Initiative
P5
P14
Volume
P7
P66
Striking Efficiency
P29
P38
Range Sniper
P24
P86
Kickboxing
P39
P47
Clinch Striking
P80
P71
Defensive Striking
P12
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P83
Wrestling
P91
P71
Pressure Wrestling
P75
P73
Top Control
P66
P83
Submission
P74
P41
Anti-Wrestling
P7
P4
Grappling Defense
P4
P92
Scrambler
P89
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P22
Power
P51
P58
Finisher
P77
P74
Damage Resistance
P80
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P97
Fast Starter
P92
P70
Pace
P43
P35
Late Fighter
P72
GLOBAL
P67
Versatility
P21
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
LeavittBrito
2.29Landed / min2.20
1.66Absorbed / min2.36
58%Accuracy49%
59%Defense44%
0.22KD / 150.18
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
LeavittBrito
3.12TD / 153.25
9.59TD att / 154.87
33%TD accuracy67%
30%TD defense48%
5:50Control / 155:29
0.89Sub att / 151.26
Targets
LeavittBrito
Head24%|51%
Body24%|14%
Leg52%|34%
Position
LeavittBrito
Distance82%|64%
Clinch10%|16%
Ground8%|20%
Ranking evolution Leavitt Brito
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Jordan Leavitt
Leavitt's grappling is where he does his best work, with his control from top position trending upward lately and a reliable knack for scrambling off his back to reset on the feet. He also has a slight edge managing range and defending in the stand-up. Riding a two-fight win streak, out just 3.4 months.
Joanderson Brito
Brito's strengths show up late, with a cardio advantage that lets him hold his pace deep into the fight, and he carries a bit more finishing threat before the scorecards. His 18-5 across all organizations includes meaningful work against tougher competition. One-fight win streak, last out 5.7 months ago.
Matchup Read
Leavitt's takedown entries and improving top control bring the fight to the mat, but Brito's gas tank and finishing threat make the later going dangerous ground for a grinder to wade into. If Leavitt can impose position early and use his get-up ability to avoid prolonged exchanges, he shapes the pace. The longer it stays competitive and standing, the more Brito's cardio and finishing lean into his favor. Crossed stances will reshuffle the angles.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Leavitt can convert his takedown entries into sustained top time rather than brief, scrambly exchanges.
- Scrambles: how quickly Leavitt gets back to his feet when Brito reverses or threatens from top.
- Late rounds: whether Brito's pace climbs in the third while Leavitt's output holds or dips.