← UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
Zhang Mingyang vs Alonzo Menifield
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05-30
57.6%
Model
66.0%
Market
1.46
Odds
-8.5
Edge (pp)
provisional · 4 UFC fightsprovisional · 4 fights
Style Matchup
established · 16 UFC fightsestablished · 16 fights
STRIKING
P93
Striking Initiative
P32
P79
Volume
P31
P94
Striking Efficiency
P87
P87
Range Sniper
P73
P78
Kickboxing
P68
P36
Clinch Striking
P59
P5
Defensive Striking
P22
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P10
Wrestling
P19
P3
Pressure Wrestling
P22
P58
Top Control
P61
P47
Submission
P51
P49
Anti-Wrestling
P74
P83
Grappling Defense
P96
P31
Scrambler
P58
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P95
Power
P58
P90
Finisher
P60
P29
Damage Resistance
P15
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P64
Fast Starter
P1
P63
Pace
P24
—
Late Fighter
P69
GLOBAL
P44
Versatility
P72
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
MingyangMenifield
7.42Landed / min3.75
5.26Absorbed / min4.11
62%Accuracy52%
37%Defense51%
1.90KD / 150.34
0.95KD abs / 150.57
Grappling / Wrestling
MingyangMenifield
0.00TD / 150.57
0.00TD att / 151.61
—TD accuracy36%
100%TD defense88%
2:47Control / 153:21
0.00Sub att / 150.23
Targets
MingyangMenifield
Head62%|80%
Body14%|11%
Leg25%|9%
Position
MingyangMenifield
Distance68%|76%
Clinch6%|14%
Ground27%|9%
Ranking evolution Mingyang Menifield
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Zhang Mingyang
Zhang Mingyang brings pressure and output on the feet, backing opponents up with volume. He can change levels to put the fight on the mat, with his top control trending upward lately, and he mixes in the takedown defense to keep exchanges where he wants. At 3-1 in the UFC and 19-7 overall, he carries finishing momentum, his last win coming over the No. 16-ranked opponent.
Alonzo Menifield
Alonzo Menifield owns the deeper cage résumé at 10-6 in the UFC and 15-6 overall, having shared the cage with ranked opposition, including the No. 12-ranked fighter who handed him his last loss. His striking output has been climbing of late. He's gone 2/5 in his last five UFC appearances and is 11 years the older man here.
Matchup Read
Menifield brings the longer tested track record, but the matchup-specific tools lean toward Zhang, who pairs forward pressure and volume with the ability to drag the fight down. If Zhang's level changes land, his improving top control and finishing instinct turn into real danger over three rounds. Menifield's rising output matters most if he can keep this standing and make Zhang pay on the way in rather than fighting off his back.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Menifield can hold the center and meet Zhang's forward pressure, or gets walked onto the back foot.
- Grappling: whether Zhang's level changes land and he establishes top position, where his control has been improving.
- Late rounds: with three rounds scheduled, watch whether Zhang's finishing push shows up before the scorecards.