← UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
Punahele Soriano vs Ramiz Brahimaj
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02-21
68.0%
Model
45.0%
Market
2.14
Odds
+23.0
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P77
Striking Initiative
P2
P45
Volume
P7
P67
Striking Efficiency
P50
P45
Range Sniper
P59
P7
Kickboxing
P46
P26
Clinch Striking
P89
P8
Defensive Striking
P11
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P62
Wrestling
P62
P70
Pressure Wrestling
P44
P79
Top Control
P24
P25
Submission
P99
P55
Anti-Wrestling
P1
P15
Grappling Defense
P1
P69
Scrambler
P31
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P90
Power
P18
P65
Finisher
P99
P63
Damage Resistance
P45
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P90
Fast Starter
P59
P86
Pace
P11
P24
Late Fighter
P29
GLOBAL
P41
Versatility
P23
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
SorianoBrahimaj
4.92Landed / min2.23
3.58Absorbed / min3.42
57%Accuracy47%
48%Defense45%
0.98KD / 150.25
0.16KD abs / 150.25
Grappling / Wrestling
SorianoBrahimaj
1.64TD / 151.74
3.77TD att / 154.48
43%TD accuracy39%
40%TD defense48%
4:31Control / 152:38
0.16Sub att / 151.99
Targets
SorianoBrahimaj
Head80%|80%
Body18%|13%
Leg2%|7%
Position
SorianoBrahimaj
Distance43%|76%
Clinch6%|19%
Ground50%|5%
Ranking evolution Soriano Brahimaj
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Punahele Soriano
Soriano brings forward pressure and the busier striking output, working from a southpaw stance. His ground control has been trending upward lately, and once on top he can impose position. He rides a 3-fight win streak and has tested himself against better overall competition, going 3/5 in his last five UFC outings.
Ramiz Brahimaj
Brahimaj's most consistent threat is his submission game off the mat, where he can hunt finishes rather than just hold position. His recent run carries real finishing momentum, winning 4 of his last 5 UFC fights, and he's also on a 3-fight streak across all organizations.
Matchup Read
Soriano brings the record against tougher opposition and the busier, more pressured striking, but Brahimaj owns the sharper matchup-specific tool once it hits the canvas. Soriano's top game cuts both ways: controlling from the top keeps him on the mat, which is exactly where Brahimaj's submission hunting becomes dangerous. If Soriano commits to his striking volume and keeps exchanges upright, he sidesteps the main risk. Every scramble and control attempt invites Brahimaj's finishing threat.
What to Watch
- Striking: whether Soriano's forward pressure and output keep the fight upright and on his terms.
- Grappling: when Soriano establishes top position, watch how quickly Brahimaj threatens submissions from the bottom.
- Scrambles: every transition on the mat is a chance for Brahimaj to lock up a finish.